China coup attempt before 2027?

Open1 market·Ends Dec 31, 2026

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Volume

$102K

Txns

4,493

Traders

985

Fees

Politics Geopolitics World China

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Markets

Market
China coup attempt before 2027?	3%	$65.7	$39.1K

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 PPMT	$1.96	1	$145
2	0 supermimi	$0	1	$1.99
3	0 Hakunameiqiu	$0	1	$44.6
4	0 aidabing	$0	1	$6.49
5	0 Mr.Burns	$0	1	$2.93
6	0 uniloktij	$0	1	$8.03
7	0 tanyatheevil	$0	1	$48.4
8	0 gambaFanta	$0	1	$111
9	0 skinwong	-$0.52	1	$9.48
10	0 Theshyqi	-$17	1	$37

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
41m	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 wcvbui	No / 96.6¢	+5.00	$4.83
41m	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x2bfe...8fc6a1	No / 96.6¢	-5.00	$4.83
44m	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x519b...390604	No / 96.6¢	-5.00	$4.83
44m	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xef7f...1c6d85	No / 96.6¢	+5.00	$4.83
1h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xc419...143b35	No / 96.6¢	+5.00	$4.83
1h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xadd2...67f851	No / 96.6¢	-5.00	$4.83
2h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x18de...05bb7c	No / 96.6¢	-7.00	$6.76
2h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xb03a...4c5be2	No / 96.6¢	+7.00	$6.76
3h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x04a5...27d963	No / 96.6¢	+7.00	$6.76
3h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xe492...696a42	No / 96.6¢	-7.00	$6.76
4h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x4191...35453c	No / 96.6¢	+5.00	$4.83
4h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x8a30...e09c67	No / 96.6¢	-5.00	$4.83
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 LaiCaiLaiCaiLaiCai	No / 96.6¢	-226.80	$219
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0426	Yes / 3.4¢	-226.80	$7.71
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 LaiCaiLaiCaiLaiCai	No / 96.6¢	-11.40	$11
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.4¢	-11.40	$0.39
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xa493...1885f2	No / 96.4¢	-9.00	$8.68
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x15a0...2d40c7	No / 96.4¢	+9.00	$8.68
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x494c...2bea9e	No / 96.4¢	-10.00	$9.64
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x8a30...e09c67	No / 96.4¢	+10.00	$9.64
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.4¢	+11.41	$0.39
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x02f7...e9dd8f	No / 96.6¢	+11.41	$11
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 3.9¢	-49.27	$1.92
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xbEFFB2418B31ad29527eF79Ae8f4bC6E118508E4-1773345861012	Yes / 3.7¢	+80.99	$3
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 misternoga	No / 96.6¢	+31.72	$30.6
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 96.6¢	-3.95	$3.82
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 misternoga	No / 96.6¢	+3.95	$3.82
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Laurenman	No / 96.8¢	-4.99	$4.83
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 96.8¢	+4.99	$4.83
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 misternoga	No / 96.6¢	+10.33	$9.98
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Altixy	No / 96.6¢	-10.33	$9.98
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 uniloktij	Yes / 3.3¢	+91.76	$3.03
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 tangren	No / 96.7¢	+77.66	$75.1
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.3¢	-14.10	$0.47
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 tangren	No / 96.7¢	+22.34	$21.6
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 chuhan1337	No / 96.7¢	+39.17	$37.9
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 uniloktij	Yes / 3.3¢	+151.51	$5
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 tanyatheevil	No / 96.7¢	+50.00	$48.4
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 woqingy	No / 96.7¢	+40.00	$38.7
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.3¢	-19.48	$0.64
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 chuhan1337	No / 96.7¢	+10.82	$10.5
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xCe3c3923221a92EEd5C6f32d38171200E6ab7df3-1772990973099	Yes / 3.3¢	+30.30	$1
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x301930fe11993Cf5B81794f9790074330c5445de-1759667575563	No / 96.7¢	-1.03	$1
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.3¢	-1.03	$0.03
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x301930fe11993Cf5B81794f9790074330c5445de-1759667575563	No / 96.8¢	+1.03	$1
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Laurenman	No / 96.8¢	-1.03	$1
4d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 asdasasdsaasd	No / 96.8¢	+1.03	$1
4d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Laurenman	No / 96.8¢	-1.03	$1
4d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 yrtwet	No / 96.7¢	-3.69	$3.57
4d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.3¢	-3.69	$0.12

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 PPMT	$1.96	1	$145
2	0 supermimi	$0	1	$1.99
3	0 Hakunameiqiu	$0	1	$44.6
4	0 aidabing	$0	1	$6.49
5	0 Mr.Burns	$0	1	$2.93
6	0 uniloktij	$0	1	$8.03
7	0 tanyatheevil	$0	1	$48.4
8	0 gambaFanta	$0	1	$111
9	0 skinwong	-$0.52	1	$9.48
10	0 Theshyqi	-$17	1	$37

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
41m	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 wcvbui	No / 96.6¢	+5.00	$4.83
41m	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x2bfe...8fc6a1	No / 96.6¢	-5.00	$4.83
44m	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x519b...390604	No / 96.6¢	-5.00	$4.83
44m	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xef7f...1c6d85	No / 96.6¢	+5.00	$4.83
1h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xc419...143b35	No / 96.6¢	+5.00	$4.83
1h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xadd2...67f851	No / 96.6¢	-5.00	$4.83
2h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x18de...05bb7c	No / 96.6¢	-7.00	$6.76
2h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xb03a...4c5be2	No / 96.6¢	+7.00	$6.76
3h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x04a5...27d963	No / 96.6¢	+7.00	$6.76
3h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xe492...696a42	No / 96.6¢	-7.00	$6.76
4h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x4191...35453c	No / 96.6¢	+5.00	$4.83
4h	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x8a30...e09c67	No / 96.6¢	-5.00	$4.83
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 LaiCaiLaiCaiLaiCai	No / 96.6¢	-226.80	$219
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0426	Yes / 3.4¢	-226.80	$7.71
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 LaiCaiLaiCaiLaiCai	No / 96.6¢	-11.40	$11
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.4¢	-11.40	$0.39
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xa493...1885f2	No / 96.4¢	-9.00	$8.68
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x15a0...2d40c7	No / 96.4¢	+9.00	$8.68
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x494c...2bea9e	No / 96.4¢	-10.00	$9.64
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x8a30...e09c67	No / 96.4¢	+10.00	$9.64
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.4¢	+11.41	$0.39
1d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x02f7...e9dd8f	No / 96.6¢	+11.41	$11
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 3.9¢	-49.27	$1.92
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xbEFFB2418B31ad29527eF79Ae8f4bC6E118508E4-1773345861012	Yes / 3.7¢	+80.99	$3
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 misternoga	No / 96.6¢	+31.72	$30.6
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 96.6¢	-3.95	$3.82
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 misternoga	No / 96.6¢	+3.95	$3.82
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Laurenman	No / 96.8¢	-4.99	$4.83
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 96.8¢	+4.99	$4.83
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 misternoga	No / 96.6¢	+10.33	$9.98
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Altixy	No / 96.6¢	-10.33	$9.98
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 uniloktij	Yes / 3.3¢	+91.76	$3.03
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 tangren	No / 96.7¢	+77.66	$75.1
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.3¢	-14.10	$0.47
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 tangren	No / 96.7¢	+22.34	$21.6
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 chuhan1337	No / 96.7¢	+39.17	$37.9
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 uniloktij	Yes / 3.3¢	+151.51	$5
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 tanyatheevil	No / 96.7¢	+50.00	$48.4
2d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 woqingy	No / 96.7¢	+40.00	$38.7
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.3¢	-19.48	$0.64
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 chuhan1337	No / 96.7¢	+10.82	$10.5
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0xCe3c3923221a92EEd5C6f32d38171200E6ab7df3-1772990973099	Yes / 3.3¢	+30.30	$1
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x301930fe11993Cf5B81794f9790074330c5445de-1759667575563	No / 96.7¢	-1.03	$1
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.3¢	-1.03	$0.03
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 0x301930fe11993Cf5B81794f9790074330c5445de-1759667575563	No / 96.8¢	+1.03	$1
3d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Laurenman	No / 96.8¢	-1.03	$1
4d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 asdasasdsaasd	No / 96.8¢	+1.03	$1
4d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 Laurenman	No / 96.8¢	-1.03	$1
4d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 yrtwet	No / 96.7¢	-3.69	$3.57
4d	China coup attempt before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 3.3¢	-3.69	$0.12

China coup attempt before 2027?

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China coup attempt before 2027?

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China coup attempt before 2027?

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China coup attempt before 2027?

Probability history

Probability history

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Probability history