Claude 5 released by…?

Open10 markets·Ends Apr 30, 2026

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Volume

$4M

Txns

69,353

Traders

7,280

Fees

$783

AI Tech Claude 5

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets

Market
September 30, 2026	71%	$3.81K	$17.1K
June 30, 2026	22%	$2.76K	$25.5K
May 31, 2026	3%	$6.01K	$49.1K
March 15, 2026	NoResolved	$0	$0
March 31, 2026	NoResolved	$0	$0
February 14, 2026	NoResolved	$0	$0
April 30, 2026	NoResolved	$0	$0
February 28, 2026	NoResolved	$0	$0
February 6	NoResolved	$0	$0
December 31, 2025	NoResolved	$0	$0

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 ShunTheNonBeliever.	$41.9	1	$1.13K
2	0 Colala	$13.4	2	$1.66K
3	0 Larper-	$7.32	1	$27.9
4	0 0x948f64e1Ee0C9d1AFC7b9c57C1E751E0f98BBEe6-1777641490214	$6.28	1	$113
5	0 0x719a2aaB742266e8CD2204A55b532bA17601C528-1776426742015	$5.42	1	$75.6
6	0 spacepirate159	$4.92	1	$36
7	0 melmarzgioui	$4.4	1	$182
8	0 Toyflagman	$3.62	1	$5.8
9	0 azhi-omni	$3.45	2	$41.3
10	0 0xCCD6A7E7003f847eCD530c928C9c841BC2aAF8a8-1776967887907	$2.82	1	$18.4

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 96.6¢	-431.28	$417
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x45FEF9A88e519265d11345D6F17350872DFA4C1A-1771802892086	Yes / 3.2¢	-161.30	$5.16
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 rpontici	No / 96.5¢	+130.68	$126
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 geminix	Yes / 3.3¢	-15.76	$0.52
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 predictdogepepewif	Yes / 3.2¢	-123.54	$3.95
25m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+430.69	$12.9
25m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 97.0¢	+430.69	$418
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 96.7¢	-1.46	$1.41
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 predictdogepepewif	Yes / 3.2¢	-1.46	$0.05
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 97.0¢	+2.05	$1.99
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+2.05	$0.06
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 TulipoII	No / 77.0¢	+10.19	$7.85
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 0x8fe8B083F8E8Faed7B8aef2e3e93CEb17a9fbd1d-1771935749366	Yes / 22.1¢	+72.26	$16.5
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 rocky42011	No / 78.0¢	+62.07	$48.4
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 TulipoII	No / 29.0¢	+2.78	$0.81
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 bionere	Yes / 71.0¢	+2.78	$2
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 azhi-omni	Yes / 2.9¢	-267.00	$7.7
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+267.00	$8.01
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 rocky42011	No / 78.0¢	+9.09	$7.09
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 Bluefintuna2026	Yes / 22.0¢	+9.09	$2.14
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 gummy-usb	Yes / 22.0¢	+101.00	$22.9
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 rocky42011	No / 78.0¢	+101.00	$78.8
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 HenrikZetterberg	No / 97.0¢	+70.00	$68
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+70.00	$2.1
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 HenrikZetterberg	No / 96.9¢	+61.29	$59.5
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x45FEF9A88e519265d11345D6F17350872DFA4C1A-1771802892086	Yes / 3.1¢	+61.29	$1.9
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 corsur4	Yes / 3.0¢	-100.01	$2.98
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x45FEF9A88e519265d11345D6F17350872DFA4C1A-1771802892086	Yes / 3.1¢	+100.01	$3.1
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+4,301.87	$129
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.4¢	+2,200.42	$74.8
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 3.4¢	+114.40	$3.89
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Emperor-Napoleon	Yes / 3.0¢	-10,748.94	$325
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 gellet	No / 96.6¢	-8.85	$8.55
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 96.7¢	-95.53	$92.4
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 96.6¢	-100.10	$96.7
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 3.4¢	+114.40	$3.89
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 3.4¢	+152.53	$5.19
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 corsur4	Yes / 3.4¢	+100.00	$3.4
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 TulipoII	Yes / 3.1¢	+3,000.00	$93
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 azhi-omni	Yes / 3.2¢	+262.84	$8.41
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 rocky42011	Yes / 3.2¢	+298.00	$9.54
4h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 TulipoII	No / 29.0¢	+140.85	$40.8
4h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 xcaiox	Yes / 71.0¢	+140.85	$101
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Cyber-Reborn	No / 96.4¢	-479.87	$462
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 ICTRADING	No / 96.5¢	+468.64	$452
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 rpontici	No / 96.5¢	+11.23	$10.8
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 peepeepooppoop	Yes / 21.0¢	+5.60	$1.18
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 svven5	Yes / 20.3¢	-5.60	$1.14
6h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 TulipoII	No / 29.0¢	+14.08	$4.08
6h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 bcoman	Yes / 71.0¢	+14.08	$10.1

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 ShunTheNonBeliever.	$41.9	1	$1.13K
2	0 Colala	$13.4	2	$1.66K
3	0 Larper-	$7.32	1	$27.9
4	0 0x948f64e1Ee0C9d1AFC7b9c57C1E751E0f98BBEe6-1777641490214	$6.28	1	$113
5	0 0x719a2aaB742266e8CD2204A55b532bA17601C528-1776426742015	$5.42	1	$75.6
6	0 spacepirate159	$4.92	1	$36
7	0 melmarzgioui	$4.4	1	$182
8	0 Toyflagman	$3.62	1	$5.8
9	0 azhi-omni	$3.45	2	$41.3
10	0 0xCCD6A7E7003f847eCD530c928C9c841BC2aAF8a8-1776967887907	$2.82	1	$18.4

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 96.6¢	-431.28	$417
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x45FEF9A88e519265d11345D6F17350872DFA4C1A-1771802892086	Yes / 3.2¢	-161.30	$5.16
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 rpontici	No / 96.5¢	+130.68	$126
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 geminix	Yes / 3.3¢	-15.76	$0.52
24m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 predictdogepepewif	Yes / 3.2¢	-123.54	$3.95
25m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+430.69	$12.9
25m	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 97.0¢	+430.69	$418
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 96.7¢	-1.46	$1.41
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 predictdogepepewif	Yes / 3.2¢	-1.46	$0.05
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x551b695145d9CCB9527d64DC5cBB7ED2EED1B47E-1779092246994	No / 97.0¢	+2.05	$1.99
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+2.05	$0.06
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 TulipoII	No / 77.0¢	+10.19	$7.85
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 0x8fe8B083F8E8Faed7B8aef2e3e93CEb17a9fbd1d-1771935749366	Yes / 22.1¢	+72.26	$16.5
1h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 rocky42011	No / 78.0¢	+62.07	$48.4
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 TulipoII	No / 29.0¢	+2.78	$0.81
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 bionere	Yes / 71.0¢	+2.78	$2
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 azhi-omni	Yes / 2.9¢	-267.00	$7.7
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+267.00	$8.01
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 rocky42011	No / 78.0¢	+9.09	$7.09
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 Bluefintuna2026	Yes / 22.0¢	+9.09	$2.14
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 gummy-usb	Yes / 22.0¢	+101.00	$22.9
2h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 rocky42011	No / 78.0¢	+101.00	$78.8
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 HenrikZetterberg	No / 97.0¢	+70.00	$68
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+70.00	$2.1
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 HenrikZetterberg	No / 96.9¢	+61.29	$59.5
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x45FEF9A88e519265d11345D6F17350872DFA4C1A-1771802892086	Yes / 3.1¢	+61.29	$1.9
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 corsur4	Yes / 3.0¢	-100.01	$2.98
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 0x45FEF9A88e519265d11345D6F17350872DFA4C1A-1771802892086	Yes / 3.1¢	+100.01	$3.1
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.0¢	+4,301.87	$129
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 anoin123	Yes / 3.4¢	+2,200.42	$74.8
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 3.4¢	+114.40	$3.89
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Emperor-Napoleon	Yes / 3.0¢	-10,748.94	$325
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 gellet	No / 96.6¢	-8.85	$8.55
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 96.7¢	-95.53	$92.4
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 96.6¢	-100.10	$96.7
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 3.4¢	+114.40	$3.89
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 3.4¢	+152.53	$5.19
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 corsur4	Yes / 3.4¢	+100.00	$3.4
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 TulipoII	Yes / 3.1¢	+3,000.00	$93
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 azhi-omni	Yes / 3.2¢	+262.84	$8.41
3h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 rocky42011	Yes / 3.2¢	+298.00	$9.54
4h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 TulipoII	No / 29.0¢	+140.85	$40.8
4h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 xcaiox	Yes / 71.0¢	+140.85	$101
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Cyber-Reborn	No / 96.4¢	-479.87	$462
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 ICTRADING	No / 96.5¢	+468.64	$452
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	0 rpontici	No / 96.5¢	+11.23	$10.8
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 peepeepooppoop	Yes / 21.0¢	+5.60	$1.18
5h	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	0 svven5	Yes / 20.3¢	-5.60	$1.14
6h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 TulipoII	No / 29.0¢	+14.08	$4.08
6h	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	0 bcoman	Yes / 71.0¢	+14.08	$10.1

Claude 5 released by…?

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Claude 5 released by…?

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Claude 5 released by…?

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Claude 5 released by…?

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