Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Open1 market·Ends Jun 30, 2026

View on Polymarket

Volume

$66K

Txns

1,468

Traders

330

Fees

$80

Gemini 3 Tech AI Gemini

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

View on Polymarket

Markets

Market
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	2%	$222	$17.3K

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Tonyyulap	$0.67	1	$10.7
2	0 speed-7	$0	1	$0.4
3	0 letshope	-$0.03	1	$2.2
4	0 100goes100k	-$0.22	1	$9
5	0 puposalbani	-$0.31	1	$0.49
6	0 robotictrader	-$0.38	1	$0.6
7	0 PPMT	-$0.86	1	$406
8	0 dn1997	-$1.38	1	$2.07
9	0 ShunTheNonBeliever.	-$2.45	1	$27.6
10	0 pmmast12	-$2.48	1	$8.79

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 1.9¢	-25.00	$0.47
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 Biver52	Yes / 2.0¢	-29.95	$0.6
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.9¢	-5.00	$0.1
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 puposalbani	Yes / 1.8¢	-5.00	$0.09
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 jeli8	Yes / 1.8¢	+94.95	$1.82
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.8¢	-5.00	$0.09
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 36714	Yes / 1.6¢	-20.00	$0.32
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	-5.00	$0.08
3h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 1.6¢	+25.00	$0.42
3h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 36714	Yes / 1.6¢	-20.00	$0.32
3h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	-5.00	$0.08
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	DistortedReality	Yes / 1.5¢	-114.45	$1.72
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	+62.20	$1
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 gellet	No / 98.3¢	-4.78	$4.7
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	garlictrump	No / 98.5¢	-47.47	$46.8
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 gellet	No / 98.3¢	-1.02	$1
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 asdqwe1	No / 98.3¢	+1.02	$1
7h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 Tonyyulap	No / 98.0¢	-5.81	$5.7
7h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 gellet	No / 98.1¢	+5.81	$5.7
8h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.8¢	-12.80	$0.23
8h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 fm14	Yes / 2.0¢	-38.48	$0.77
8h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 0x13681E68d37379105e8fba6EC8087B6F54777CdE-1778423730258	Yes / 2.0¢	+51.28	$1.04
10h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 36714	Yes / 1.5¢	-20.00	$0.3
10h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	garlictrump	No / 98.4¢	-30.50	$30
10h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.5¢	-10.50	$0.16
11h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 98.3¢	-5.20	$5.11
11h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	-5.20	$0.08
11h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	-10.50	$0.17
11h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 98.3¢	-10.50	$10.3
12h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 0xA3af760e15e6B6bd3C43d8cf2AE6952F0a9bB7a6-1720875307802	No / 98.0¢	+5.00	$4.9
12h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 2.0¢	+5.00	$0.1
15h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.8¢	-8.60	$0.15
15h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 98.1¢	-8.60	$8.44
15h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 98.3¢	-19.63	$19.3
15h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 Basilomo	No / 98.3¢	+19.63	$19.3
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 0xe907...a0cff6	Yes / 3.1¢	+61.41	$1.99
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 2.7¢	-4.18	$0.11
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 2.7¢	-5.00	$0.14
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 96.7¢	+44.88	$43.4
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 2.6¢	-7.35	$0.19
21h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 1.6¢	+7.35	$0.12
21h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 dn1997	Yes / 1.5¢	-24.06	$0.37
21h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	+16.71	$0.27
23h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 0x37cFF536c831FF53881072FBB42DdaC5467560D4-1773688960733	No / 97.2¢	-2.59	$2.52
23h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 2.7¢	-2.59	$0.07
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 acal	Yes / 2.0¢	+300.00	$6
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 4e2fbc2acf	No / 98.0¢	+510.76	$501
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 FlexPower	Yes / 2.0¢	+210.76	$4.22
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 akunai	Yes / 2.1¢	+100.00	$2.1
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 2.1¢	+6.77	$0.14

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 1.9¢	-25.00	$0.47
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 Biver52	Yes / 2.0¢	-29.95	$0.6
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.9¢	-5.00	$0.1
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 puposalbani	Yes / 1.8¢	-5.00	$0.09
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 jeli8	Yes / 1.8¢	+94.95	$1.82
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.8¢	-5.00	$0.09
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 36714	Yes / 1.6¢	-20.00	$0.32
8m	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	-5.00	$0.08
3h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 1.6¢	+25.00	$0.42
3h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 36714	Yes / 1.6¢	-20.00	$0.32
3h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	-5.00	$0.08
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	DistortedReality	Yes / 1.5¢	-114.45	$1.72
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	+62.20	$1
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 gellet	No / 98.3¢	-4.78	$4.7
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	garlictrump	No / 98.5¢	-47.47	$46.8
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 gellet	No / 98.3¢	-1.02	$1
5h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 asdqwe1	No / 98.3¢	+1.02	$1
7h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 Tonyyulap	No / 98.0¢	-5.81	$5.7
7h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 gellet	No / 98.1¢	+5.81	$5.7
8h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.8¢	-12.80	$0.23
8h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 fm14	Yes / 2.0¢	-38.48	$0.77
8h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 0x13681E68d37379105e8fba6EC8087B6F54777CdE-1778423730258	Yes / 2.0¢	+51.28	$1.04
10h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 36714	Yes / 1.5¢	-20.00	$0.3
10h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	garlictrump	No / 98.4¢	-30.50	$30
10h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.5¢	-10.50	$0.16
11h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 98.3¢	-5.20	$5.11
11h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	-5.20	$0.08
11h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	-10.50	$0.17
11h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 98.3¢	-10.50	$10.3
12h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 0xA3af760e15e6B6bd3C43d8cf2AE6952F0a9bB7a6-1720875307802	No / 98.0¢	+5.00	$4.9
12h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 2.0¢	+5.00	$0.1
15h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.8¢	-8.60	$0.15
15h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 98.1¢	-8.60	$8.44
15h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 98.3¢	-19.63	$19.3
15h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 Basilomo	No / 98.3¢	+19.63	$19.3
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 0xe907...a0cff6	Yes / 3.1¢	+61.41	$1.99
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 2.7¢	-4.18	$0.11
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 2.7¢	-5.00	$0.14
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 96.7¢	+44.88	$43.4
19h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 2.6¢	-7.35	$0.19
21h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 1.6¢	+7.35	$0.12
21h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 dn1997	Yes / 1.5¢	-24.06	$0.37
21h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 27kgfdogodgfg	Yes / 1.6¢	+16.71	$0.27
23h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 0x37cFF536c831FF53881072FBB42DdaC5467560D4-1773688960733	No / 97.2¢	-2.59	$2.52
23h	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 2.7¢	-2.59	$0.07
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 acal	Yes / 2.0¢	+300.00	$6
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 4e2fbc2acf	No / 98.0¢	+510.76	$501
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 FlexPower	Yes / 2.0¢	+210.76	$4.22
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 akunai	Yes / 2.1¢	+100.00	$2.1
1d	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	0 102cats	Yes / 2.1¢	+6.77	$0.14

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Tonyyulap	$0.67	1	$10.7
2	0 speed-7	$0	1	$0.4
3	0 letshope	-$0.03	1	$2.2
4	0 100goes100k	-$0.22	1	$9
5	0 puposalbani	-$0.31	1	$0.49
6	0 robotictrader	-$0.38	1	$0.6
7	0 PPMT	-$0.86	1	$406
8	0 dn1997	-$1.38	1	$2.07
9	0 ShunTheNonBeliever.	-$2.45	1	$27.6
10	0 pmmast12	-$2.48	1	$8.79

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Markets

Recent trades

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Markets

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

Top traders across this event

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

Recent trades

Recent trades

Top traders across this event

Probability history