Trump approval rating on May 22?

Open6 markets·Ends May 22, 2026

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$59

approvals Approval Trump Politics

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 22, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Markets

Market
38.0–38.4	60%	$1.59K	$1.43K
38.5–38.9	29%	$1.23K	$1.78K
37.5–37.9	2%	$875	$2.47K
39.0–39.4	2%	$771	$4.16K
<37.5	0%	$869	$2.1K
39.5+	0%	$588	$4.83K

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 plainfolder	$1.15K	6	$351
2	0 smallreceipt	$208	6	$537
3	0 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023	$69.9	4	$0
4	0 northdrawer	$32.7	6	$448
5	0 PPMT	$13.8	4	$132
6	0 Colala	$0.51	1	$1.94
7	0 buyOthern	$0	1	$7.93
8	0 zeonJ	$0	1	$2.95
9	0 Miniwhale1	-$0.07	1	$2
10	0 0xB96d273018a8fE71AAcb26B5cbFA3DD1C333afcd-1778787214993	-$0.2	1	$10

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 94.9¢	-18.78	$17.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 smallreceipt	No / 99.7¢	+30.00	$29.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 98.1¢	+20.31	$19.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 99.4¢	-19.00	$18.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 northdrawer	No / 35.0¢	+30.00	$10.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF	Yes / 29.3¢	+70.00	$21.1
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 38.5¢	+14.40	$5.68
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 35.0¢	-4.40	$1.54
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 94.9¢	-1.32	$1.25
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x68375B8CD026AD970A748C3F385c15E4772e1108-1778812038692	No / 99.9¢	+19.00	$19
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 Pogesz	Yes / 60.0¢	+10.00	$6
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 99.4¢	-20.99	$20.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 plainfolder	No / 71.0¢	+30.00	$21.3
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 graynotebook19	No / 99.9¢	+30.00	$30
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 quietparcel	No / 94.9¢	+30.00	$28.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 99.4¢	+20.99	$20.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 1.6¢	+19.00	$0.3
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 Pogesz	Yes / 65.0¢	+10.00	$6.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 TENETENET	Yes / 0.1¢	+30.00	$0.03
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.3¢	+30.00	$0.09
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 1.6¢	+21.01	$0.34
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579	No / 99.4¢	+19.00	$18.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 TENETENET	Yes / 0.1¢	+5.32	$0.01
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 70.0¢	+21.00	$14.7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 98.4¢	+21.01	$20.7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 35.0¢	-20.00	$7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 triklozoid	Yes / 0.1¢	+13.68	$0.01
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0xA1Ad70535b01576acF4997F86fAC9a663f6EE485-1778812656371	No / 71.0¢	+19.00	$13.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x8F34e45Fe06d6faD7D9d9d2738859a4022C02f50-1769571271220	No / 94.8¢	-11.22	$10.6
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	Lavincey	Yes / 1.7¢	+18.99	$0.32
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 1.6¢	+30.00	$0.48
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251	No / 98.4¢	+19.00	$18.7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 godblessme2026	No / 98.4¢	+30.00	$29.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 99.3¢	+15.59	$15.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 0.7¢	+15.59	$0.11
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 30.0¢	+15.60	$4.81
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 79.0¢	+6.00	$4.74
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 Pogesz	Yes / 70.0¢	+10.00	$7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 98.4¢	+15.59	$15.3
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 76.0¢	+15.58	$11.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 80.0¢	+25.00	$20
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 1.6¢	+15.59	$0.25
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x8F34e45Fe06d6faD7D9d9d2738859a4022C02f50-1769571271220	No / 94.8¢	-15.59	$14.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF	Yes / 21.5¢	+46.58	$10.3
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 30.0¢	-5.60	$1.68
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 94.8¢	+15.59	$14.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 Pogesz	Yes / 75.0¢	+10.00	$7.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF	Yes / 74.3¢	-10.00	$7.42
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 iPhone5	Yes / 76.0¢	+8.00	$6.08
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	DerDon	No / 24.0¢	+8.00	$1.98

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 plainfolder	$1.15K	6	$351
2	0 smallreceipt	$208	6	$537
3	0 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023	$69.9	4	$0
4	0 northdrawer	$32.7	6	$448
5	0 PPMT	$13.8	4	$132
6	0 Colala	$0.51	1	$1.94
7	0 buyOthern	$0	1	$7.93
8	0 zeonJ	$0	1	$2.95
9	0 Miniwhale1	-$0.07	1	$2
10	0 0xB96d273018a8fE71AAcb26B5cbFA3DD1C333afcd-1778787214993	-$0.2	1	$10

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 94.9¢	-18.78	$17.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 smallreceipt	No / 99.7¢	+30.00	$29.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 98.1¢	+20.31	$19.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 99.4¢	-19.00	$18.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 northdrawer	No / 35.0¢	+30.00	$10.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF	Yes / 29.3¢	+70.00	$21.1
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 38.5¢	+14.40	$5.68
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 35.0¢	-4.40	$1.54
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 94.9¢	-1.32	$1.25
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x68375B8CD026AD970A748C3F385c15E4772e1108-1778812038692	No / 99.9¢	+19.00	$19
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 Pogesz	Yes / 60.0¢	+10.00	$6
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 99.4¢	-20.99	$20.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 plainfolder	No / 71.0¢	+30.00	$21.3
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 graynotebook19	No / 99.9¢	+30.00	$30
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 quietparcel	No / 94.9¢	+30.00	$28.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 99.4¢	+20.99	$20.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 1.6¢	+19.00	$0.3
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 Pogesz	Yes / 65.0¢	+10.00	$6.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 TENETENET	Yes / 0.1¢	+30.00	$0.03
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.3¢	+30.00	$0.09
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 1.6¢	+21.01	$0.34
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579	No / 99.4¢	+19.00	$18.9
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 TENETENET	Yes / 0.1¢	+5.32	$0.01
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 70.0¢	+21.00	$14.7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 98.4¢	+21.01	$20.7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 35.0¢	-20.00	$7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 triklozoid	Yes / 0.1¢	+13.68	$0.01
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0xA1Ad70535b01576acF4997F86fAC9a663f6EE485-1778812656371	No / 71.0¢	+19.00	$13.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x8F34e45Fe06d6faD7D9d9d2738859a4022C02f50-1769571271220	No / 94.8¢	-11.22	$10.6
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	Lavincey	Yes / 1.7¢	+18.99	$0.32
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 1.6¢	+30.00	$0.48
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251	No / 98.4¢	+19.00	$18.7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 godblessme2026	No / 98.4¢	+30.00	$29.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 99.3¢	+15.59	$15.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 0.7¢	+15.59	$0.11
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 30.0¢	+15.60	$4.81
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 79.0¢	+6.00	$4.74
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 Pogesz	Yes / 70.0¢	+10.00	$7
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 98.4¢	+15.59	$15.3
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 76.0¢	+15.58	$11.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 80.0¢	+25.00	$20
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 flexer78	Yes / 1.6¢	+15.59	$0.25
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x8F34e45Fe06d6faD7D9d9d2738859a4022C02f50-1769571271220	No / 94.8¢	-15.59	$14.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF	Yes / 21.5¢	+46.58	$10.3
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 PPMT	No / 30.0¢	-5.60	$1.68
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	0 balthazar	No / 94.8¢	+15.59	$14.8
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 Pogesz	Yes / 75.0¢	+10.00	$7.5
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 0x270d627C490EA2a58a66215AB0ee8db9C1D45fF	Yes / 74.3¢	-10.00	$7.42
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	0 iPhone5	Yes / 76.0¢	+8.00	$6.08
1h	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?	DerDon	No / 24.0¢	+8.00	$1.98

Trump approval rating on May 22?

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Trump approval rating on May 22?

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Trump approval rating on May 22?

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Trump approval rating on May 22?

Probability history

Probability history

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Probability history