Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Open1 market·Ends Dec 31, 2026

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Volume

$416K

Txns

12,005

Traders

1,459

Fees

$636

Canada Politics World Geopolitics

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Markets

Market
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	55%	$6.96K	$24.7K

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Lawfulworm43	$102	1	$604
2	0 909990	$31.8	1	$368
3	0 0x2128AB2438B1f42e51f7dCecFA9e5Ec2ce1F6306-1777024790408	$12.3	1	$488
4	0 0x9865874aA70AC29f739a5053477076818f82ACEa-1777125027988	$4.39	1	$44.9
5	0 Colala	$2.96	1	$1.04K
6	0 MrK-	$0.15	1	$250
7	0 pmmast12	$0.12	1	$10.1
8	0 41321432	$0.05	1	$6.12
9	0 Isaacdixon	$0	1	$20
10	0 puposalbani	-$0.05	1	$4.75

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
49m	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 roadstar	No / 43.0¢	-21.35	$9.18
49m	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ReedAllen	No / 43.0¢	+21.35	$9.39
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Nostdam	No / 43.0¢	-50.00	$21.5
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	No / 44.0¢	+50.00	$22
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	No / 45.0¢	+5.00	$2.25
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x314c...4f3cc6	Yes / 55.0¢	+1,335.00	$747
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 rocky42019	No / 45.0¢	+330.00	$149
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Odysseus7	Yes / 55.0¢	-1,000.00	$550
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+0.18	$0.1
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Snoopyfan	Yes / 54.0¢	+283.36	$153
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0xeC20d6D42aB5F11A8AD6adF89F598e1662e17c9b-1774402941909	Yes / 53.1¢	-318.54	$169
3h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+4.82	$2.65
3h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
3h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
3h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 djkubi	No / 45.0¢	+14.82	$6.82
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 43.0¢	-70.00	$30.1
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 rocky42019	No / 45.0¢	-190.00	$85.5
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 bargaingreed	No / 45.6¢	+658.09	$307
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	mrworldwide	Yes / 52.0¢	+118.49	$61.6
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 56.0¢	+35.71	$20
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Bikesarethebest	Yes / 53.0¢	+109.00	$57.8
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 45.0¢	-122.89	$55.3
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Schnorrer	Yes / 56.0¢	+12.00	$6.72
12h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 45.0¢	-19.11	$8.6
12h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 chetyredva	No / 44.9¢	+22.29	$10.2
12h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 56.0¢	+3.18	$1.78
14h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 56.0¢	+1.82	$1.02
14h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 doofusthefirst	No / 44.0¢	+6.82	$3.07
14h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	No / 44.0¢	-5.00	$2.2
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 43.0¢	-65.87	$28.3
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 43.0¢	-0.23	$0.1
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 iPhone5	Yes / 57.0¢	+8.00	$4.56
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0xeC20d6D42aB5F11A8AD6adF89F598e1662e17c9b-1774402941909	Yes / 56.0¢	-74.10	$41.5
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 43.0¢	-69.77	$30
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 unclemath	No / 43.0¢	+69.77	$30.7
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0xeC20d6D42aB5F11A8AD6adF89F598e1662e17c9b-1774402941909	Yes / 58.0¢	-2.56	$1.49
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 59.0¢	+2.56	$1.51
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 59.0¢	+2.44	$1.44
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Hugh.Jaynus	No / 41.0¢	+2.44	$1.02
16h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Colala	Yes / 60.0¢	-45.00	$27
16h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 40.0¢	+80.00	$32
16h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 iPhone5	No / 40.0¢	+8.00	$3.2
16h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	PMPAndrew	Yes / 60.0¢	+222.62	$136

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Lawfulworm43	$102	1	$604
2	0 909990	$31.8	1	$368
3	0 0x2128AB2438B1f42e51f7dCecFA9e5Ec2ce1F6306-1777024790408	$12.3	1	$488
4	0 0x9865874aA70AC29f739a5053477076818f82ACEa-1777125027988	$4.39	1	$44.9
5	0 Colala	$2.96	1	$1.04K
6	0 MrK-	$0.15	1	$250
7	0 pmmast12	$0.12	1	$10.1
8	0 41321432	$0.05	1	$6.12
9	0 Isaacdixon	$0	1	$20
10	0 puposalbani	-$0.05	1	$4.75

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
49m	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 roadstar	No / 43.0¢	-21.35	$9.18
49m	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ReedAllen	No / 43.0¢	+21.35	$9.39
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Nostdam	No / 43.0¢	-50.00	$21.5
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	No / 44.0¢	+50.00	$22
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	No / 45.0¢	+5.00	$2.25
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x314c...4f3cc6	Yes / 55.0¢	+1,335.00	$747
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 rocky42019	No / 45.0¢	+330.00	$149
1h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Odysseus7	Yes / 55.0¢	-1,000.00	$550
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+0.18	$0.1
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Snoopyfan	Yes / 54.0¢	+283.36	$153
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
2h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0xeC20d6D42aB5F11A8AD6adF89F598e1662e17c9b-1774402941909	Yes / 53.1¢	-318.54	$169
3h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+4.82	$2.65
3h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
3h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 55.0¢	+5.00	$2.75
3h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 djkubi	No / 45.0¢	+14.82	$6.82
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 43.0¢	-70.00	$30.1
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 rocky42019	No / 45.0¢	-190.00	$85.5
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 bargaingreed	No / 45.6¢	+658.09	$307
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	mrworldwide	Yes / 52.0¢	+118.49	$61.6
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 56.0¢	+35.71	$20
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Bikesarethebest	Yes / 53.0¢	+109.00	$57.8
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 45.0¢	-122.89	$55.3
10h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Schnorrer	Yes / 56.0¢	+12.00	$6.72
12h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 45.0¢	-19.11	$8.6
12h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 chetyredva	No / 44.9¢	+22.29	$10.2
12h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 56.0¢	+3.18	$1.78
14h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 56.0¢	+1.82	$1.02
14h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 doofusthefirst	No / 44.0¢	+6.82	$3.07
14h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	No / 44.0¢	-5.00	$2.2
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 43.0¢	-65.87	$28.3
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 43.0¢	-0.23	$0.1
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 iPhone5	Yes / 57.0¢	+8.00	$4.56
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0xeC20d6D42aB5F11A8AD6adF89F598e1662e17c9b-1774402941909	Yes / 56.0¢	-74.10	$41.5
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 43.0¢	-69.77	$30
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 unclemath	No / 43.0¢	+69.77	$30.7
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0xeC20d6D42aB5F11A8AD6adF89F598e1662e17c9b-1774402941909	Yes / 58.0¢	-2.56	$1.49
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 59.0¢	+2.56	$1.51
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 ktv.01	Yes / 59.0¢	+2.44	$1.44
15h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Hugh.Jaynus	No / 41.0¢	+2.44	$1.02
16h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 Colala	Yes / 60.0¢	-45.00	$27
16h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	No / 40.0¢	+80.00	$32
16h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	0 iPhone5	No / 40.0¢	+8.00	$3.2
16h	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	PMPAndrew	Yes / 60.0¢	+222.62	$136

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

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Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

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Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

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Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

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Probability history

Markets

Top traders across this event

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Recent trades

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Probability history