Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Open1 market·Ends Jun 30, 2026

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Volume

$8K

Txns

991

Traders

143

Fees

Politics Geopolitics Somaliland somalia

On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Markets

Market
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	25%	$71.7	$4.4K

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 0x309773db39671CAED0b81BC171100e1F61534C44-1777541920942	$0.4	1	$2.39
2	0 puposalbani	$0.1	1	$10.4
3	0 trader447	$0.05	1	$21.5
4	0 cryptoscarlet	$0	1	$2
5	0 pm-other-01	-$0.05	1	$13.9
6	0 Colala	-$5.67	1	$105
7	0 0x589b783ebBA2990b87EB39B2dc6511C8F80bB203-1777363030975	-$6.44	1	$23.6
8	0 KenneyG	-$9.6	1	$44.4

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 l1nkus	Yes / 25.0¢	-5.00	$1.25
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 28.0¢	-18.63	$5.22
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Drunken-Mentat	No / 71.0¢	+4.30	$3.05
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 25.0¢	-42.63	$10.7
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 27.0¢	-9.74	$2.63
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 NUPlaystation	Yes / 26.2¢	+80.30	$21
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0x3b300a916331c4D7D65D50F378Dcb02b3c5D100F-1768576368306	No / 74.0¢	-0.01	$0.01
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638	No / 74.0¢	+0.01	$0.01
15h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0x3b300a916331c4D7D65D50F378Dcb02b3c5D100F-1768576368306	No / 75.0¢	-8.44	$6.33
15h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 pm-other-01	No / 75.0¢	+8.44	$6.33
20h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 79.0¢	-6.45	$5.1
20h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	tamirlavi	Yes / 20.2¢	-28.30	$5.72
20h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Avitz33	Yes / 20.0¢	+21.85	$4.37
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xF2f8364469C4F520d49fC046CFEC25884dC3A633-1764675960929	Yes / 31.0¢	+6.45	$2
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 69.0¢	+6.45	$4.45
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 DFC	No / 71.2¢	+70.26	$50
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Avitz33	Yes / 20.0¢	+19.59	$3.92
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 67.0¢	-7.00	$4.69
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 KakiBatusik	Yes / 32.0¢	+33.00	$10.6
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 67.0¢	-5.67	$3.8
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 puposalbani	No / 68.0¢	-5.00	$3.4
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 puposalbani	No / 68.0¢	+5.00	$3.4
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 KakiBatusik	Yes / 32.0¢	+17.00	$5.44
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Schnorrer	No / 68.0¢	+12.00	$8.16
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 iPhone5	No / 67.0¢	+8.00	$5.36
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0x6714...76fad2	No / 67.0¢	+0.15	$0.1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 67.0¢	+7.00	$4.69
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	tamirlavi	Yes / 33.0¢	+15.15	$5
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Goorsakbardari	Yes / 21.3¢	-48.35	$10.3
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 78.0¢	-7.00	$5.46
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 21.0¢	+18.20	$3.82
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 21.0¢	+17.49	$3.67
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 78.0¢	-5.66	$4.41
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Schnorrer	Yes / 34.0¢	-8.00	$2.72
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 iPhone5	Yes / 34.0¢	+8.00	$2.72
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 67.0¢	+7.00	$4.69
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+5.00	$1.65
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 67.0¢	-2.00	$1.34
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Colala	No / 66.0¢	-2.57	$1.7

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 0x309773db39671CAED0b81BC171100e1F61534C44-1777541920942	$0.4	1	$2.39
2	0 puposalbani	$0.1	1	$10.4
3	0 trader447	$0.05	1	$21.5
4	0 cryptoscarlet	$0	1	$2
5	0 pm-other-01	-$0.05	1	$13.9
6	0 Colala	-$5.67	1	$105
7	0 0x589b783ebBA2990b87EB39B2dc6511C8F80bB203-1777363030975	-$6.44	1	$23.6
8	0 KenneyG	-$9.6	1	$44.4

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 l1nkus	Yes / 25.0¢	-5.00	$1.25
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 28.0¢	-18.63	$5.22
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Drunken-Mentat	No / 71.0¢	+4.30	$3.05
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 25.0¢	-42.63	$10.7
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 27.0¢	-9.74	$2.63
2h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 NUPlaystation	Yes / 26.2¢	+80.30	$21
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0x3b300a916331c4D7D65D50F378Dcb02b3c5D100F-1768576368306	No / 74.0¢	-0.01	$0.01
12h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638	No / 74.0¢	+0.01	$0.01
15h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0x3b300a916331c4D7D65D50F378Dcb02b3c5D100F-1768576368306	No / 75.0¢	-8.44	$6.33
15h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 pm-other-01	No / 75.0¢	+8.44	$6.33
20h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 79.0¢	-6.45	$5.1
20h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	tamirlavi	Yes / 20.2¢	-28.30	$5.72
20h	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Avitz33	Yes / 20.0¢	+21.85	$4.37
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xF2f8364469C4F520d49fC046CFEC25884dC3A633-1764675960929	Yes / 31.0¢	+6.45	$2
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 69.0¢	+6.45	$4.45
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 DFC	No / 71.2¢	+70.26	$50
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Avitz33	Yes / 20.0¢	+19.59	$3.92
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 67.0¢	-7.00	$4.69
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 KakiBatusik	Yes / 32.0¢	+33.00	$10.6
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 67.0¢	-5.67	$3.8
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 puposalbani	No / 68.0¢	-5.00	$3.4
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 puposalbani	No / 68.0¢	+5.00	$3.4
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 KakiBatusik	Yes / 32.0¢	+17.00	$5.44
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Schnorrer	No / 68.0¢	+12.00	$8.16
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 iPhone5	No / 67.0¢	+8.00	$5.36
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0x6714...76fad2	No / 67.0¢	+0.15	$0.1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 67.0¢	+7.00	$4.69
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	tamirlavi	Yes / 33.0¢	+15.15	$5
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Goorsakbardari	Yes / 21.3¢	-48.35	$10.3
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 78.0¢	-7.00	$5.46
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 21.0¢	+18.20	$3.82
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 purebaby	Yes / 21.0¢	+17.49	$3.67
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 78.0¢	-5.66	$4.41
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Schnorrer	Yes / 34.0¢	-8.00	$2.72
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 iPhone5	Yes / 34.0¢	+8.00	$2.72
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 0xf528...127e5b	No / 67.0¢	+7.00	$4.69
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+5.00	$1.65
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 TerranSupremacy	No / 67.0¢	-2.00	$1.34
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 SomeOne45	Yes / 33.0¢	+1.49	$0.49
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 nobtc	No / 67.0¢	+1.49	$1
1d	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	0 Colala	No / 66.0¢	-2.57	$1.7

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

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Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

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Top traders across this event

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Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

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Markets

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Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

Top traders across this event

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Recent trades

Top traders across this event

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Probability history