Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Open5 markets·Ends May 31, 2026

View on Polymarket

Volume

$24K

Txns

1,136

Traders

180

Fees

$57

Claude AI Tech outage

This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).

Markets

Market
9-11	46%	$0	$1.51K
12+	44%	$516	$3.06K
6-8	18%	$85.3	$2.68K
3-5	NoResolved	$0	$0
0-2	NoResolved	$0	$0

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023	$23.7	4	$0
2	0 i18z	$23.1	2	$0
3	0 kekmaan	$22.1	2	$63.8
4	0 saucypizza	$17.2	1	$244
5	0 TinyMiny	$15	1	$33
6	0 MythicalScissors	$9.43	1	$17.2
7	0 TheOnePanda	$6.93	1	$14
8	0 tripsomewheresouth	$4.31	4	$9.25
9	0 PPMT	$3.49	3	$140
10	0 VonVyaak	$0.73	2	$1.07

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 knowerofmarkets	Yes / 44.0¢	-426.53	$188
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	Viberoni	No / 55.0¢	-426.53	$235
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 0x6714...76fad2	No / 61.0¢	-9.84	$6
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 0x3b300a916331c4D7D65D50F378Dcb02b3c5D100F-1768576368306	No / 61.0¢	+9.84	$6.09
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 0x6714...76fad2	No / 57.0¢	+12.47	$7.11
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	molodoyy	No / 56.1¢	-50.11	$28.1
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 43.0¢	-30.10	$12.9
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 AJSV	No / 57.0¢	+2.54	$1.45
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 l1nkus	Yes / 42.0¢	-5.00	$2.1
19h	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	PeanutTheGreat	No / 81.4¢	-5.00	$4.07
19h	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 VonVyaak	Yes / 18.0¢	-5.00	$0.9
19h	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 VonVyaak	Yes / 1.3¢	+5.00	$0.07
19h	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	PeanutTheGreat	No / 98.7¢	+5.00	$4.94
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638	No / 91.9¢	-2.55	$2.34
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 romanew-1-new	Yes / 8.1¢	+55.56	$4.5
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 RolandChang	No / 91.9¢	+58.11	$53.6
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 moonrise-clump	No / 91.5¢	+10.93	$10
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 8.6¢	+2.50	$0.21
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 AJSV	Yes / 8.5¢	+8.43	$0.72
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 8.6¢	+8.46	$0.73
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 moonrise-clump	Yes / 8.3¢	-8.46	$0.7
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 PPMT	Yes / 29.0¢	-30.00	$8.7
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	Viberoni	No / 70.2¢	-30.00	$21.1
1d	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	0 wavesinthesky	Yes / 45.0¢	-2.63	$1.18
1d	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	0 AJSV	Yes / 46.0¢	+2.63	$1.21
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	molodoyy	Yes / 8.2¢	-15.00	$1.23
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 8.5¢	+15.00	$1.27
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 Palace8709	No / 68.9¢	+210.30	$147
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 saucypizza	No / 69.0¢	-182.30	$126
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 32.0¢	+28.00	$8.96
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 wwder	Yes / 0.1¢	+5.00	$0.01
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 Biver52	Yes / 0.1¢	+100.00	$0.1
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149	Yes / 0.1¢	+6.00	$0.01
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 Palace8709	No / 99.9¢	+461.00	$461
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes / 0.1¢	+29.70	$0.03
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes / 0.1¢	+120.30	$0.12
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 5-min	Yes / 0.1¢	+200.00	$0.2
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	ultralisk	Yes / 0.2¢	+112.00	$0.22
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 Abstrat	No / 99.8¢	+112.00	$112
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 tripsomewheresouth	Yes / 0.3¢	+83.12	$0.25
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 overwatch06	No / 99.7¢	+83.12	$82.9
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 PPMT	Yes / 28.0¢	+30.00	$8.4
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 l1nkus	Yes / 28.0¢	+5.00	$1.4
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	Viberoni	No / 72.0¢	+57.99	$42.2
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 AJSV	Yes / 28.0¢	+22.99	$6.44
2d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 Hugin-og-Munin	Yes / 0.2¢	-6.91	$0.01
2d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	ultralisk	Yes / 0.2¢	+6.91	$0.01
2d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 aHjCz	Yes / 0.2¢	-3.00	$0.01
2d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	ultralisk	Yes / 0.2¢	+3.00	$0.01
2d	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	0 aHjCz	No / 50.0¢	+3.00	$1.53

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023	$23.7	4	$0
2	0 i18z	$23.1	2	$0
3	0 kekmaan	$22.1	2	$63.8
4	0 saucypizza	$17.2	1	$244
5	0 TinyMiny	$15	1	$33
6	0 MythicalScissors	$9.43	1	$17.2
7	0 TheOnePanda	$6.93	1	$14
8	0 tripsomewheresouth	$4.31	4	$9.25
9	0 PPMT	$3.49	3	$140
10	0 VonVyaak	$0.73	2	$1.07

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 knowerofmarkets	Yes / 44.0¢	-426.53	$188
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	Viberoni	No / 55.0¢	-426.53	$235
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 0x6714...76fad2	No / 61.0¢	-9.84	$6
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 0x3b300a916331c4D7D65D50F378Dcb02b3c5D100F-1768576368306	No / 61.0¢	+9.84	$6.09
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 0x6714...76fad2	No / 57.0¢	+12.47	$7.11
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	molodoyy	No / 56.1¢	-50.11	$28.1
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 43.0¢	-30.10	$12.9
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 AJSV	No / 57.0¢	+2.54	$1.45
18h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 l1nkus	Yes / 42.0¢	-5.00	$2.1
19h	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	PeanutTheGreat	No / 81.4¢	-5.00	$4.07
19h	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 VonVyaak	Yes / 18.0¢	-5.00	$0.9
19h	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 VonVyaak	Yes / 1.3¢	+5.00	$0.07
19h	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	PeanutTheGreat	No / 98.7¢	+5.00	$4.94
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638	No / 91.9¢	-2.55	$2.34
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 romanew-1-new	Yes / 8.1¢	+55.56	$4.5
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 RolandChang	No / 91.9¢	+58.11	$53.6
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 moonrise-clump	No / 91.5¢	+10.93	$10
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 8.6¢	+2.50	$0.21
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 AJSV	Yes / 8.5¢	+8.43	$0.72
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 8.6¢	+8.46	$0.73
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 moonrise-clump	Yes / 8.3¢	-8.46	$0.7
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 PPMT	Yes / 29.0¢	-30.00	$8.7
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	Viberoni	No / 70.2¢	-30.00	$21.1
1d	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	0 wavesinthesky	Yes / 45.0¢	-2.63	$1.18
1d	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	0 AJSV	Yes / 46.0¢	+2.63	$1.21
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	molodoyy	Yes / 8.2¢	-15.00	$1.23
1d	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 8.5¢	+15.00	$1.27
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 Palace8709	No / 68.9¢	+210.30	$147
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 saucypizza	No / 69.0¢	-182.30	$126
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 32.0¢	+28.00	$8.96
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 wwder	Yes / 0.1¢	+5.00	$0.01
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 Biver52	Yes / 0.1¢	+100.00	$0.1
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149	Yes / 0.1¢	+6.00	$0.01
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 Palace8709	No / 99.9¢	+461.00	$461
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes / 0.1¢	+29.70	$0.03
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes / 0.1¢	+120.30	$0.12
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 5-min	Yes / 0.1¢	+200.00	$0.2
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	ultralisk	Yes / 0.2¢	+112.00	$0.22
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 Abstrat	No / 99.8¢	+112.00	$112
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 tripsomewheresouth	Yes / 0.3¢	+83.12	$0.25
1d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 overwatch06	No / 99.7¢	+83.12	$82.9
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 PPMT	Yes / 28.0¢	+30.00	$8.4
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 l1nkus	Yes / 28.0¢	+5.00	$1.4
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	Viberoni	No / 72.0¢	+57.99	$42.2
1d	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	0 AJSV	Yes / 28.0¢	+22.99	$6.44
2d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 Hugin-og-Munin	Yes / 0.2¢	-6.91	$0.01
2d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	ultralisk	Yes / 0.2¢	+6.91	$0.01
2d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	0 aHjCz	Yes / 0.2¢	-3.00	$0.01
2d	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?	ultralisk	Yes / 0.2¢	+3.00	$0.01
2d	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	0 aHjCz	No / 50.0¢	+3.00	$1.53

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

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Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

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Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

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Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

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