
Volume
$35K
Txns
406
Traders
113
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 4, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 4, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$18.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 93%$18.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.82Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$5.95Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 74%$3.7Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.12Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.8¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 11mo | catwithtie | No / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +896.38 | $895 | |
| 11mo | CanadianGoose | No / 99.9¢ | -896.38 | $895 | |
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +23.89 | $23.9 | |
| 11mo | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -23.89 | $23.9 | |
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 11mo | EmeraldGreen | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +9.73 | $9.72 | |
| 11mo | Fain | No / 99.9¢ | -9.73 | $9.72 | |
| 11mo | Fain | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 11mo | Skaliz | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 11mo | Fain | No / 99.9¢ | -2.25 | $2.25 | |
| 11mo | lisa56 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.25 | $2.25 | |
| 11mo | Utuel | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 11mo | TheComandanteCobra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | TheComandanteCobra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.40 | $0.02 |
1–25