Volume
$804K
Txns
9,386
Traders
2,771
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$14,834
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | Haradwaith | No / 94.7¢ | -1.06 | $1 | |
| 2h | 0x4437f68b6670fe15D3d65c093Df2AcD9cEFb88DC-1778599522443 | No / 94.7¢ | +1.06 | $1 | |
| 4h | 0x8c76...46745f | No / 94.6¢ | -0.42 | $0.4 | |
| 4h | lalalalend00 | No / 94.6¢ | +0.42 | $0.4 | |
| 4h | 0x02f7...e9dd8f | No / 94.7¢ | +1.06 | $1 | |
| 4h | Haradwaith | No / 94.7¢ | -1.06 | $1 | |
| 9h | 878steder | No / 94.6¢ | +53.00 | $50.1 | |
| 9h | lalalalend00 | No / 94.6¢ | +27.00 | $25.5 | |
| 9h | Artaius | No / 94.6¢ | -80.00 | $75.7 | |
| 1d | prtwetw3 | No / 95.1¢ | +1.10 | $1.05 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 95.1¢ | -1.10 | $1.05 | |
| 1d | Bikesarethebest | No / 94.3¢ | +99.00 | $93.4 | |
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 5.1¢ | -55.70 | $2.84 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 94.4¢ | +40.00 | $37.8 | |
| 1d | JoE | Yes / 5.3¢ | -49.39 | $2.62 | |
| 1d | konchenell7765 | No / 94.8¢ | +23.28 | $22.1 | |
| 1d | AudemarsPiguets | No / 94.2¢ | +335.84 | $316 | |
| 1d | rocky42014 | No / 94.4¢ | +264.00 | $249 | |
| 1d | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 94.4¢ | -867.21 | $818 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | No / 95.2¢ | +40.00 | $38.1 | |
| 1d | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 95.1¢ | +5.57 | $5.3 | |
| 1d | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 95.5¢ | +212.00 | $202 | |
| 1d | e56lavan3578 | No / 94.9¢ | +51.00 | $48.4 | |
| 1d | konchenell7765 | No / 94.8¢ | +26.71 | $25.3 | |
| 1d | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 94.8¢ | +44.00 | $41.7 |
1–25
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Yes 98%$443Kvolume
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
No 100%$602Kvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 88%$443Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 59%$244Kvolume
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Yes 98%$288Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 87%$603Kvolume