
Volume
$39K
Txns
988
Traders
290
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States falls below 5.00% at any point between September 19 and October 31, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason there is no data point for this market's resolution date on either of the sources listed below, information for the nearest previous available date will be used. The primary resolution source for this market is Freddie Mac, specifically https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. The data that will be looked at is the "30Y FRM" as indicated on the graph titled "Primary Mortgage Market Survey®". If the resolution source is unavailable, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US will be looked at instead. If both sources are unavailable other credible reporting may be used.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$6.74Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$18Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 92%$18.2Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$5.94Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.1Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 74%$3.69Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Xylo6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +210.00 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 99.9¢ | +210.00 | $210 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | deg3nnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | JelloPix | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ppalme1 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +10.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | -999.95 | $999 | |
| 1y | fhantombets | Yes / 0.1¢ | -999.95 | $1 | |
| 1y | mon1ka | Yes / 0.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 99.5¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 1y | tgvcbvccv | Yes / 0.5¢ | +2.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 99.5¢ | +2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 1y | Phylly | Yes / 0.5¢ | +5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | JJo | No / 99.9¢ | +791.66 | $791 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +791.66 | $0.79 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Tehgameguy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | fhantombets | Yes / 0.1¢ | +583.44 | $0.58 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,008.34 | $1.01 | |
| 1y | Tehgameguy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +4,835.00 | $4.83K |
1–25