AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$68K
Txns
1,234
Traders
204
Fees
$63
Liquidity
$5,969
Ends
Volume
$68K
Txns
1,234
Traders
204
Fees
$63
Liquidity
$5,969
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 23.0¢ | -0.11 | $0.03 | |
| 2d | 0x6bd1...3c9e1d | No / 76.3¢ | -0.11 | $0.08 | |
| 3d | STEVJJJ | Yes / 20.3¢ | -48.00 | $9.76 | |
| 3d | 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876 | Yes / 21.0¢ | +48.00 | $10.1 | |
| 3d | robotictrader | Yes / 20.3¢ | -7.60 | $1.55 | |
| 3d | 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876 | Yes / 21.0¢ | +7.60 | $1.6 | |
| 3d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 21.0¢ | -1,510.00 | $317 | |
| 3d | simplystupid188 | Yes / 22.0¢ | +26.66 | $5.87 | |
| 3d | simplystupid188 | Yes / 22.0¢ | +35.55 | $7.82 | |
| 3d | 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876 | Yes / 22.0¢ | +964.02 | $212 | |
| 3d | simplystupid188 | Yes / 22.0¢ | +26.66 | $5.87 | |
| 3d | 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876 | Yes / 21.0¢ | +457.11 | $96 | |
| 5d | 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876 | Yes / 22.0¢ | +28.95 | $6.37 | |
| 5d | 69mf | Yes / 21.3¢ | -28.95 | $6.17 | |
| 5d | csbellizzi | No / 78.0¢ | +7.03 | $5.53 | |
| 5d | 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876 | Yes / 22.0¢ | +7.03 | $1.55 | |
| 7d | S888 | No / 76.3¢ | -9.00 | $6.87 | |
| 7d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 23.0¢ | -9.00 | $2.07 | |
| 7d | jtradegbr | No / 76.0¢ | +50.00 | $38 | |
| 7d | STEVJJJ | Yes / 24.0¢ | +50.00 | $12.4 | |
| 7d | robotictrader | Yes / 24.0¢ | +7.60 | $1.88 | |
| 7d | jtradegbr | No / 76.0¢ | +7.60 | $5.78 | |
| 7d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 23.0¢ | +1,510.00 | $358 | |
| 7d | 69mf | Yes / 24.0¢ | +28.96 | $7.16 | |
| 7d | S888 | No / 77.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.7 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$393Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.04Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 72%$518Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 83%$70.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 74%$909Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 89%$1.44Mvolume