Volume
$191K
Txns
1,912
Traders
365
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$116Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.83Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 297812 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.01 | $2.01 | |
| 5mo | Warsh-Nightmare | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2.01 | $0 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.29 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Warsh-Nightmare | Yes / 0.1¢ | -360.14 | $0.4 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +27.85 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +323.00 | $0.32 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +16.17 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.3¢ | +43.22 | $0.13 | |
| 5mo | 30-dollar-per-day | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +146.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +14.60 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +259.00 | $0.26 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.41 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | d68e | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | Warsh-Nightmare | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,125.50 | $5.4 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +210.00 | $0.21 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.3¢ | +21.62 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +121.00 | $0.12 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +354.00 | $0.35 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.48 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.66 | $0.02 |
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