
Volume
$54K
Txns
985
Traders
208
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by Alibaba has a higher arena score than all DeepSeek models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by February 28, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best DeepSeek arena score it will not count. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$108Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | LinabellAccountStolen | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +537.31 | $536 | |
| 1y | 200w | No / 99.8¢ | -537.31 | $536 | |
| 1y | 01-01-40 | No / 99.8¢ | -215.62 | $215 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +215.62 | $215 | |
| 1y | 0x16EF8EaaC2a7D8C45EB64d1268feADAAF94592B6-1734445939656 | No / 99.8¢ | -4.53 | $4.52 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +4.53 | $4.52 | |
| 1y | 0x175CE751202BBFEC3293892C7eEA4B5bF4C61ee0-1740429778747 | Yes / 0.8¢ | +125.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | +125.00 | $124 | |
| 1y | 0x175CE751202BBFEC3293892C7eEA4B5bF4C61ee0-1740429778747 | Yes / 0.7¢ | +293.95 | $2 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.7¢ | -51.58 | $0.36 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | +142.37 | $141 | |
| 1y | DDoNN | No / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 1y | dingdangcat | No / 99.9¢ | -377.88 | $378 | |
| 1y | frogiue | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.9¢ | +477.88 | $477 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | frogiue | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | taerv534 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,888.04 | $3.78 | |
| 1y | Gustav4 | No / 99.8¢ | +1,888.04 | $1.88K | |
| 1y | taerv534 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +611.96 | $1.22 | |
| 1y | LinabellAccountStolen | No / 99.8¢ | +611.96 | $611 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.5¢ | +84.87 | $0.42 | |
| 1y | RolandChang | No / 99.6¢ | -277.88 | $277 |
1–25