
Volume
$286
Txns
18
Traders
10
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Rasheed33 | No / 88.5¢ | -1.09 | $0.96 | |
| 4d | magicportland | Yes / 11.0¢ | -1.09 | $0.12 | |
| 4d | DeverNoom | No / 92.6¢ | +167.29 | $155 | |
| 4d | jijitmu | No / 94.0¢ | -25.00 | $23.5 | |
| 4d | 53asdad | Yes / 9.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.9 | |
| 4d | bluetens27 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.2 | |
| 4d | magicportland | Yes / 7.0¢ | +5.39 | $0.38 | |
| 4d | 0xe3ae...3d217a | Yes / 9.0¢ | +66.90 | $6.02 | |
| 4d | bluetens27 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +15.00 | $1.2 | |
| 4d | jijitmu | No / 95.0¢ | -25.00 | $23.7 | |
| 5d | DeverNoom | No / 86.0¢ | +15.00 | $12.9 | |
| 5d | 0xBdf936398b2bc4233aF206944c503c6065ea0e7C-1760343078288 | Yes / 14.0¢ | +15.00 | $2.19 | |
| 11d | 0xe3ae...3d217a | Yes / 9.0¢ | +1.10 | $0.1 | |
| 11d | Rasheed33 | No / 91.0¢ | +1.10 | $1 | |
| 11d | jijitmu | No / 84.0¢ | +50.00 | $42.3 | |
| 11d | AJSV | Yes / 16.0¢ | +50.00 | $8 |
1–16
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
No 72%$228volume
Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?
No 96%$64volume
Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?
No 72%$41.9volume
Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?
No 92%$84.7volume
Will no cause of the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion be announced by December 31?
No 93%$69.9volume
Did a software or control system failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?
No 80%$42.8volume