
Volume
$86K
Txns
1,703
Traders
435
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
On December 18, 2024, Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency in California over the H5N1 bird flu outbreak. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/osint613/status/1869497993977823355 This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of emergency directly related to an outbreak of H5N1 is declared in any state other than California by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be announcements from the relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | MaksimC | No / 99.9¢ | -10.14 | $10.1 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.14 | $10.1 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -16.19 | $16.2 | |
| 1y | HorribleWork | No / 99.9¢ | +16.19 | $16.2 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -3.13 | $3.13 | |
| 1y | brooksandrew | No / 99.9¢ | +3.13 | $3.13 | |
| 1y | brooksandrew | No / 99.9¢ | +2.25 | $2.25 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -2.25 | $2.25 | |
| 1y | garrettbruce | No / 99.9¢ | +4.54 | $4.54 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -4.54 | $4.54 | |
| 1y | thebenjamins | No / 99.9¢ | +116.06 | $116 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -116.06 | $116 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | YingBao | No / 99.5¢ | -319.90 | $318 | |
| 1y | valeramorkon | No / 99.5¢ | +124.24 | $124 | |
| 1y | Iliilliill | Yes / 0.5¢ | -175.66 | $0.88 | |
| 1y | iballard | No / 99.9¢ | +5.61 | $5.6 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -5.61 | $5.6 | |
| 1y | Remidez | No / 99.9¢ | -10.15 | $10.1 | |
| 1y | MengZhu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -62.34 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -52.19 | $52.1 | |
| 1y | whitedalton | No / 99.9¢ | +2.86 | $2.86 | |
| 1y | Remidez | No / 99.9¢ | -2.86 | $2.86 | |
| 1y | Remidez | No / 99.9¢ | -2.97 | $2.97 | |
| 1y | shelleystrickland | No / 99.9¢ | +2.97 | $2.97 |
1–25
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
No 100%$1.84Mvolume
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?
No 100%$193Kvolume
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?
No 100%$307Kvolume
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?
No 100%$80.6Kvolume
Human to human bird flu transmission before February?
No 100%$190Kvolume
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?
No 100%$185Kvolume