
Volume
$96K
Txns
1,536
Traders
346
Fees
$481
Liquidity
$15,148
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11m | sarevok | Yes / 94.1¢ | -334.23 | $315 | |
| 11m | oopslostmoney | No / 5.7¢ | -334.23 | $19 | |
| 1h | slad369 | Yes / 94.0¢ | +55.93 | $52.6 | |
| 1h | tshisfdih | Yes / 94.0¢ | +57.70 | $54.2 | |
| 1h | s3w3rkr1s | Yes / 94.0¢ | +43.40 | $40.8 | |
| 1h | grasstable | Yes / 94.0¢ | +60.60 | $57 | |
| 1h | sarevok | No / 6.0¢ | +430.00 | $26.8 | |
| 1h | meeliskangur | Yes / 94.0¢ | +74.00 | $69.6 | |
| 1h | man1yf1rst | Yes / 94.0¢ | +70.70 | $66.5 | |
| 1h | helgamets | Yes / 94.0¢ | +67.67 | $63.6 | |
| 1h | oopslostmoney | No / 5.9¢ | +334.24 | $20.5 | |
| 1h | sarevok | No / 5.9¢ | -333.67 | $19.7 | |
| 1h | planktonXD | No / 5.9¢ | -0.57 | $0.03 | |
| 1h | planktonXD | No / 5.9¢ | -377.00 | $22.2 | |
| 1h | esports097 | No / 5.9¢ | +377.00 | $23.1 | |
| 3h | dn1997 | No / 4.5¢ | -11.53 | $0.52 | |
| 3h | pyandi | Yes / 95.0¢ | -7.58 | $7.2 | |
| 3h | Colala | Yes / 95.9¢ | -3.95 | $3.79 | |
| 3h | planktonXD | No / 5.9¢ | -11.53 | $0.68 | |
| 3h | dn1997 | No / 5.9¢ | +11.53 | $0.71 | |
| 4h | xcaiox | No / 5.8¢ | +171.86 | $10.4 | |
| 4h | TraderProMax | No / 5.7¢ | -5.00 | $0.28 | |
| 4h | Biver52 | No / 5.8¢ | -100.00 | $5.8 | |
| 4h | planktonXD | No / 5.9¢ | -51.96 | $3.07 | |
| 4h | Colala | Yes / 94.3¢ | +14.90 | $14.1 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$380Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 97%$1Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 75%$503Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 52%$40.1Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 99%$558Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Yes 99%$37.8Kvolume