
Volume
$12K
Txns
144
Traders
60
Fees
$3
Ends
May 8, 2026
On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 11d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | hannahparker56 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11d | Gaged34 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 11d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 11d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | elijahlong | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | carterfisher | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11d | rileyhughes55 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | Holden6 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 11d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | alexanderbennett | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11d | mattevans | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | Yorkie | No / 97.3¢ | -1.54 | $1.5 | |
| 11d | Nottooserious | Yes / 2.6¢ | -1.54 | $0.04 | |
| 11d | Nottooserious | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11d | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11d | MiniTurtle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9,000.00 | $9 | |
| 11d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11d | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +9,356.00 | $9.35K |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$392Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 97%$1.03Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Yes 100%$81.8Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 71%$511Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$70.7Kvolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.82Mvolume