
Volume
$72K
Txns
2,594
Traders
510
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 16, 2026
XAI’s Grok Chatbot put limitations on X-reply-prompted image generation in place for some users this week in response to users “digitally undressing” people (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/09/business/grok-image-generation-undressing-deepfake). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that restrictions on Grok image generation through X posts and replies, including generation of images of users in a bikini, have been lifted for a majority of X users including users who are not paid subscribers to either Grok or X by January 16, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official announcements from XAI or X, or evidence from Grok on X will be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution sources for this market will be evidence of Grok image-generation on X, official information from XAI, X, and a consensus of credible sources.
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.21Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$796Kvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$809Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$813Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$351Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | d1k21 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.19 | $5.18 | |
| 4mo | HyperboreanBryanCaplanFan | No / 99.9¢ | -5.19 | $5.18 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | -287.50 | $287 | |
| 4mo | stringerr | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 4mo | 16r0ob | Yes / 0.1¢ | -87.50 | $0.09 | |
| 4mo | d1k21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -99.99 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | Txetg | No / 99.9¢ | -99.99 | $99.9 | |
| 4mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | thanglong | No / 99.9¢ | -5.99 | $5.98 | |
| 4mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.99 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.64 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | d1k21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 4mo | OptimusBot | No / 99.9¢ | +435.62 | $435 | |
| 4mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 4mo | 9... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.15 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | swimmingtoriches | No / 99.8¢ | +1,089.09 | $1.09K | |
| 4mo | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +22.36 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | Perypery | Yes / 0.2¢ | +535.28 | $1.07 | |
| 4mo | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +15.62 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +485.36 | $0.49 | |
| 4mo | 9... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +21.32 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +4.28 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.11 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | AbduhlKlappstuhl | Yes / 0.3¢ | -25.00 | $0.07 |
1–25