
Volume
$1K
Txns
133
Traders
55
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$382
Ends
Apr 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | LatinaConqueror | Up / 53.0¢ | -9.43 | $5 | |
| 13d | statham.42069 | Up / 53.0¢ | +9.43 | $5.12 | |
| 13d | LatinaConqueror | Up / 53.0¢ | -1.89 | $1 | |
| 13d | 0xE63492111c76e154d37bE92f400518f2e64929E1-1774460767180 | Up / 53.7¢ | +1.86 | $1 | |
| 16d | 0xDD950b3E23666ebB4DEDBB6B515EdD066BEf17E8-1771564571312 | Down / 72.0¢ | +30.00 | $21.6 | |
| 16d | Simon4s | Up / 28.3¢ | +29.70 | $8.4 | |
| 23d | LatinaConqueror | Up / 53.0¢ | -18.87 | $10 | |
| 23d | 0x94922a802c9b254D22C0e4aE6b46145D45F03aAf-1777257101403 | Up / 53.0¢ | +18.87 | $10 | |
| 25d | 0xc255...ff4d67 | Down / 68.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.4 | |
| 25d | Simon4s | Up / 32.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.6 | |
| 25d | Simon4s | Up / 32.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.6 | |
| 25d | 0xc255...ff4d67 | Down / 68.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.4 | |
| 25d | 0xc255...ff4d67 | Down / 68.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.4 | |
| 25d | Simon4s | Up / 32.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.6 | |
| 1mo | NickLWorth | Yes / 53.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.3 | |
| 1mo | LatinaConqueror | Yes / 53.0¢ | -10.00 | $5.3 | |
| 1mo | Quily | No / 67.0¢ | +1.49 | $1 | |
| 1mo | IrthBirth | Yes / 33.0¢ | +1.49 | $0.49 | |
| 1mo | 15rob | Yes / 31.0¢ | +2.90 | $0.9 | |
| 1mo | E.T | No / 69.0¢ | +2.90 | $2 | |
| 1mo | 15rob | Yes / 31.0¢ | +1.69 | $0.52 | |
| 1mo | E.T | Yes / 31.0¢ | -1.69 | $0.52 | |
| 1mo | XAI | No / 65.0¢ | +3.08 | $2 | |
| 1mo | Simon4s | Yes / 35.0¢ | +3.08 | $1.08 | |
| 1mo | DavApp | No / 64.0¢ | +3.13 | $2 |
1–25
Will Alberta join the US?
No 96%$117Kvolume
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes 63%$426Kvolume
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No 91%$79.8Kvolume
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
No 100%$4.6Kvolume
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Yes 78%$53.9Kvolume
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
No 85%$41.9Kvolume