
Volume
$30K
Txns
631
Traders
110
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 16, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 91%$3.11Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 87%$1.8Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 58%$740Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 97%$59.2Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 97%$56.2Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 90%$84.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | BigodinSagaz | No / 0.5¢ | -8.11 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Vicee | Yes / 99.5¢ | -8.11 | $8.07 | |
| 1y | BigodinSagaz | No / 0.5¢ | -14.28 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | misunderstood | Yes / 99.5¢ | -14.28 | $14.2 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -70.91 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | hzbz | Yes / 99.9¢ | -70.91 | $70.8 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +44.80 | $44.8 | |
| 1y | hzbz | Yes / 99.9¢ | -44.80 | $44.8 | |
| 1y | duderr | No / 0.1¢ | +160.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | No / 0.1¢ | -160.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | duderr | Yes / 99.6¢ | -104.88 | $104 | |
| 1y | BigodinSagaz | No / 0.5¢ | +50.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | 0xdoqwkp12 | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | normalOne | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +120.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | praesagus | Yes / 99.8¢ | +845.87 | $844 | |
| 1y | Karekken | Yes / 99.4¢ | -20.99 | $20.9 | |
| 1y | Sinch | Yes / 98.1¢ | -761.57 | $747 | |
| 1y | Bsau4 | No / 1.6¢ | -80.76 | $1.29 | |
| 1y | Bsau4 | No / 1.6¢ | -69.23 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | Karekken | Yes / 98.5¢ | +21.00 | $20.7 | |
| 1y | Bsau4 | No / 1.6¢ | -30.00 | $0.48 | |
| 1y | RolandChang | Yes / 98.0¢ | +429.27 | $421 | |
| 1y | RolandChang | Yes / 98.0¢ | +31.31 | $30.7 | |
| 1y | RolandChang | Yes / 98.0¢ | +100.00 | $98 |
1–25