
Volume
$48K
Txns
1,579
Traders
307
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States enacts an Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) specifically targeting Iran between June 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, both chambers of Congress must pass, and the President (currently Donald Trump) must sign into law, a bill that explicitly authorizes the use of U.S. military force against Iran. The authorization does not need to use the exact phrase “Authorization for Use of Military Force,” but it must clearly and specifically authorize military action against Iran as a state actor. General defense appropriations, intelligence findings, covert action approvals, or broader regional authorizations that do not explicitly pertain to Iran will not qualify. Presidential orders or military action without such a law being passed and signed will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official U.S. government records (e.g., Congress.gov, White House releases) however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$28.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$26.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 92%$4.28Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.51 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +83.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5mo | jesterthegoose | No / 99.9¢ | +1,849.00 | $1.85K | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.67 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.79 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.65 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.30 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +61.00 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | wks118 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.00 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +18.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.26 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +29.00 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +57.51 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.89 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.66 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.50 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.19 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +22.30 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.86 | $0.05 |
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