
Volume
$60K
Txns
2,275
Traders
650
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by DeepSeek has a higher arena score than all OpenAI models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by February 28, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best OpenAI arena score it will not count. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.1Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.79Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 56%$740Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 95%$55.4Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 89%$943Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 90%$84.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +0.59 | $0 | |
| 1y | rui01 | No / 99.9¢ | -405.00 | $405 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +655.59 | $655 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 0x87677gma | No / 99.8¢ | +196.39 | $196 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +96.99 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +99.40 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | pokgaikid | No / 99.8¢ | +3.01 | $3 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +3.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ArctiCCC | No / 99.9¢ | +49.05 | $49 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | +354.82 | $354 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +69.49 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +85.33 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | a5rui | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Rasalgethi | No / 99.7¢ | +300.00 | $299 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +300.00 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | Slaviqu | No / 99.7¢ | +2.01 | $2 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +2.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +20.46 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | asioc22ca | No / 99.7¢ | +20.46 | $20.4 | |
| 1y | anjali-abquod | No / 99.4¢ | +2.22 | $2.21 | |
| 1y | shamusmain | No / 99.4¢ | -2.22 | $2.21 |
1–25