Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
ResolvedVolume
$150K
Txns
5,333
Traders
746
Fees
$601
Ends
May 2, 2026
Volume
$150K
Txns
5,333
Traders
746
Fees
$601
Ends
May 2, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 30 12:00 PM ET to May 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -96.34 | $0.1 | |
| 19d | 0x4982F3366663C509Fb00fd8790Acb97DB7FdFe01-1768207224612 | No / 99.9¢ | -96.34 | $96.2 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -299.99 | $0.3 | |
| 19d | bubalex1337 | No / 99.9¢ | -299.99 | $300 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -21.90 | $0.02 | |
| 19d | oligwen | No / 99.9¢ | -21.90 | $21.9 | |
| 19d | Jono808 | No / 99.9¢ | -84.21 | $84.1 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -84.21 | $0.08 | |
| 19d | 0x3D6341e81cb8fac216013456829C266807Df1b7F-1770008014945 | No / 99.9¢ | -614.21 | $614 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -614.21 | $0.61 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -24.79 | $0.02 | |
| 19d | singkhamx | No / 99.9¢ | -24.79 | $24.8 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -80.00 | $0.08 | |
| 19d | havetodoc | No / 99.9¢ | -80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 19d | newtc | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -28.17 | $0.03 | |
| 19d | Ashutosh21 | No / 99.9¢ | -28.17 | $28.1 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.36 | $0.01 | |
| 19d | Markets65 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.36 | $5.35 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -64.00 | $0.06 | |
| 19d | IranAnalytic | No / 99.9¢ | -64.00 | $63.9 | |
| 19d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck | No / 99.9¢ | -637.53 | $637 | |
| 19d | alohaa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -637.53 | $0.64 | |
| 19d | orenmiz | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 |
1–25
Trump kiss by May 31?
Yes 100%$12Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
No 100%$872Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
No 100%$751Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
No 96%$372Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
No 58%$343Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 99%$5.64Mvolume