Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$196K
Txns
6,156
Traders
749
Fees
$1,147
Liquidity
$18,420
Ends
May 25, 2026
Volume
$196K
Txns
6,156
Traders
749
Fees
$1,147
Liquidity
$18,420
Ends
May 25, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 23 12:00 PM ET to May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25s | jackthelezund | Yes / 1.8¢ | +55.56 | $1.05 | |
| 25s | dex53 | No / 98.2¢ | +55.56 | $54.6 | |
| 3m | WanderingPanda | Yes / 1.6¢ | -1,600.00 | $25.9 | |
| 3m | Ondra | Yes / 1.7¢ | +1,600.00 | $27.2 | |
| 6m | Ondra | Yes / 1.7¢ | +130.00 | $2.32 | |
| 6m | HerrieDavis | Yes / 1.7¢ | -50.00 | $0.85 | |
| 6m | 36714 | Yes / 1.7¢ | -50.00 | $0.85 | |
| 6m | Glycogen | Yes / 1.7¢ | -30.00 | $0.51 | |
| 8m | yorkdale | No / 98.4¢ | +98.96 | $97.5 | |
| 8m | noirretbot | Yes / 1.6¢ | +88.19 | $1.41 | |
| 8m | bipbipbop | No / 98.7¢ | -10.77 | $10.6 | |
| 10m | noirretbot | Yes / 1.6¢ | +25.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10m | 0x8862bC5dDF1DA15eE95a50e02d2B8Cd2654554Df-1779259187932 | Yes / 1.5¢ | -25.00 | $0.38 | |
| 10m | jc101520 | No / 98.4¢ | +2.85 | $2.8 | |
| 10m | noirretbot | Yes / 1.6¢ | +2.85 | $0.05 | |
| 13m | bipbipbop | No / 98.2¢ | +95.55 | $93.8 | |
| 13m | josephcunningham | Yes / 1.8¢ | +95.55 | $1.8 | |
| 17m | bipbipbop | No / 98.7¢ | +150.00 | $148 | |
| 17m | Ondra | Yes / 1.3¢ | +150.00 | $2.05 | |
| 18m | HerrieDavis | Yes / 1.3¢ | -50.00 | $0.65 | |
| 18m | bipbipbop | Yes / 1.3¢ | -78.24 | $1.02 | |
| 18m | 36714 | Yes / 1.3¢ | -50.00 | $0.65 | |
| 18m | knightrobin | Yes / 1.3¢ | +199.23 | $2.72 | |
| 18m | bipbipbop | No / 98.7¢ | +20.99 | $20.7 | |
| 20m | WanderingPanda | Yes / 1.2¢ | +1,908.70 | $22.9 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 85%$32.5Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
No 100%$213Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
No 90%$200Kvolume
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
No 99%$352Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
No 64%$175Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Yes 67%$103Kvolume