
Volume
$1K
Txns
410
Traders
118
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$3,372
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | AJSV | Yes / 17.0¢ | +2.29 | $0.39 | |
| 12d | DeepDitch | Yes / 16.3¢ | -2.29 | $0.37 | |
| 12d | 0x4d2f...f9cc25 | Yes / 16.2¢ | -25.00 | $4.05 | |
| 12d | 16r0ob | Yes / 17.0¢ | +22.70 | $3.86 | |
| 12d | DeepDitch | Yes / 16.0¢ | +2.30 | $0.37 | |
| 18d | AJSV | Yes / 21.0¢ | +1.21 | $0.25 | |
| 18d | vale.glez | Yes / 20.2¢ | -1.21 | $0.24 | |
| 26d | luish | No / 85.0¢ | +10.64 | $9.04 | |
| 26d | AJSV | Yes / 15.0¢ | +10.64 | $1.6 | |
| 26d | luish | No / 71.4¢ | +14.51 | $10.4 | |
| 26d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 71.0¢ | -8.00 | $5.68 | |
| 26d | IrthBirth | Yes / 28.0¢ | +6.51 | $1.82 | |
| 26d | ultralisk | Yes / 9.0¢ | +3.15 | $0.28 | |
| 26d | 15rob | No / 80.0¢ | -7.42 | $5.94 | |
| 26d | 15rob | No / 89.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.45 | |
| 26d | 15rob | No / 81.0¢ | -6.04 | $4.89 | |
| 26d | 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638 | No / 81.0¢ | -8.39 | $6.8 | |
| 26d | testerw3r | Yes / 16.9¢ | -30.00 | $5.06 | |
| 26d | IrthBirth | No / 69.0¢ | +6.50 | $4.49 | |
| 26d | testerw3r | No / 67.3¢ | -52.46 | $35.3 | |
| 26d | luish | No / 66.0¢ | +20.05 | $13.2 | |
| 26d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 70.0¢ | +8.00 | $5.6 | |
| 26d | AJSV | No / 67.0¢ | +17.91 | $12 | |
| 26d | Pineo | No / 70.0¢ | -11.23 | $7.86 | |
| 26d | AJSV | No / 70.0¢ | +0.63 | $0.44 |
1–25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$17.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 67%$7.47Mvolume
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No 81%$4.28Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$7.75Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.6Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.3Mvolume