
Volume
$40K
Txns
245
Traders
80
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 13, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?' market in the Event 'Fed decision in March?' (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-march-885) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 2-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the '25 bps decrease' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/fed-cuts-25-bps-in-march-odds-15-by-february-13 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 2-hour window. This will display the 2-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 60%$1.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.65Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 77%$5.33Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | 0xC09289dF5abA0A81a022A017ef0aD5fCEb8F8Fc8-1770316969116 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | FishPimp | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Mauro8 | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 4mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.69 | $10.7 | |
| 4mo | 0x2D98a5D0321DDA6CF0342585CC76E94e1b79C8DD-1769684711620 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.69 | $10.7 | |
| 4mo | planktonXD | Yes / 99.9¢ | -34.00 | $34 | |
| 4mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +34.00 | $34 | |
| 4mo | Beliard | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x31A8fl8DEAfA62FbF9cc89F6f5d95aAb53970936 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +990.00 | $989 | |
| 4mo | vinii | Yes / 99.1¢ | +100.00 | $99.1 | |
| 4mo | 0x56Bf31869138142C2Bce2fFD2f0C3Bf38F623F74-1769017827477 | No / 0.9¢ | +111.11 | $1 | |
| 4mo | MartinaPampas | No / 0.9¢ | -11.11 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | From300To10K | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | 10KPnl | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,323.47 | $1.32K | |
| 4mo | nightowlnine | Yes / 99.9¢ | -123.47 | $123 | |
| 4mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +237.00 | $0.24 | |
| 4mo | 13ea | No / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,073.98 | $1.07K | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +176.00 | $0.18 | |
| 4mo | FedericoAsado | No / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 |
1–25