
Volume
$90M
Txns
101,469
Traders
14,065
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 28, 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 27 - 28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.72Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 92%$1.52Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 60%$1.8Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x28D9314A9b14A8f38A38ced2adC1348E281421Bb-1768997127286 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Eidan.tz | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | 6673d312d99782D | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | hrsequine | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | coolboy337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 4mo | Tony699 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | coolboy337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Take-my-muffin | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Take-my-muffin | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x9D4c82f24308f775d75af384aA763920649E1950-1769619575926 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x9D4c82f24308f775d75af384aA763920649E1950-1769619575926 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,900.00 | $1.9 | |
| 4mo | 0xefb8...0b5f91 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,900.00 | $1.9 | |
| 4mo | 0xefb8...0b5f91 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48,150.00 | $48.1 |
1–25