Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
ActiveVolume
$110K
Txns
2,172
Traders
400
Fees
$325
Liquidity
$16,155
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
Volume
$110K
Txns
2,172
Traders
400
Fees
$325
Liquidity
$16,155
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | Haradwaith | Yes / 28.0¢ | -2.70 | $0.76 | |
| 2h | 0x44128DB8Ea4C5A1FBb9BebeB5e82f2b63e71f131-1772470941440 | No / 71.0¢ | -10.00 | $7.1 | |
| 2h | ktv.01 | No / 72.0¢ | +7.30 | $5.26 | |
| 2h | Dr.PNL | No / 73.0¢ | +50.00 | $36.5 | |
| 2h | howeed | Yes / 27.0¢ | -440.89 | $119 | |
| 2h | firegold | No / 72.0¢ | -516.89 | $372 | |
| 2h | Haradwaith | Yes / 27.0¢ | -16.00 | $4.32 | |
| 2h | ktv.01 | Yes / 27.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.35 | |
| 2h | ktv.01 | No / 73.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.65 | |
| 6h | intelligence98 | No / 74.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.5 | |
| 6h | tiger555 | Yes / 26.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.56 | |
| 14h | ktv.01 | No / 73.0¢ | -10.00 | $7.3 | |
| 14h | howeed | Yes / 26.0¢ | -325.09 | $84.6 | |
| 14h | Dr.PNL | Yes / 27.0¢ | +50.00 | $13.5 | |
| 14h | ktv.01 | Yes / 27.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.7 | |
| 14h | GalacticThief | No / 73.0¢ | -255.09 | $186 | |
| 15h | ididada | No / 71.0¢ | -2.70 | $1.92 | |
| 15h | ktv.01 | No / 72.0¢ | +2.70 | $1.94 | |
| 1d | 0x1dCa4aDF026801485d3ce7CAafC3E7ba2E6f4183-1773811395627 | No / 73.0¢ | +6.85 | $5.07 | |
| 1d | GalacticThief | No / 73.0¢ | -6.85 | $5 | |
| 1d | GalacticThief | No / 73.0¢ | -6.85 | $5 | |
| 1d | 0x1dCa4aDF026801485d3ce7CAafC3E7ba2E6f4183-1773811395627 | No / 73.0¢ | +6.85 | $5.07 | |
| 1d | dave12345 | No / 70.0¢ | +12.80 | $8.96 | |
| 1d | 0xffe9...7608a0 | Yes / 30.0¢ | +12.80 | $3.97 | |
| 1d | GalacticThief | No / 73.0¢ | -10.87 | $7.94 |
1–25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.58Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$7.73Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.26Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.53Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 68%$4.33Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 68%$1.12Mvolume