Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
ActiveVolume
$292K
Txns
7,299
Traders
1,000
Fees
$175
Liquidity
$83,532
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
Volume
$292K
Txns
7,299
Traders
1,000
Fees
$175
Liquidity
$83,532
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2026, currently scheduled for June 16-17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | 0xB548844F01707ef29E4cC6E88C0ca0E531ccbB9D-1779287829436 | No / 99.1¢ | +2.02 | $2 | |
| 2h | Colala | No / 99.1¢ | -2.02 | $2 | |
| 3h | QMG-CORE | No / 98.0¢ | +4.55 | $4.46 | |
| 3h | vsdfmkl | No / 98.0¢ | -20.30 | $19.9 | |
| 3h | Colala | No / 98.1¢ | +10.70 | $10.5 | |
| 3h | rette33 | Yes / 1.8¢ | -5.05 | $0.09 | |
| 5h | rette33 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.05 | $0.05 | |
| 5h | 0x9c56...5480f8 | No / 99.0¢ | +5.05 | $5 | |
| 9h | Colala | No / 98.1¢ | +20.18 | $19.8 | |
| 9h | dfdsfwe | No / 98.0¢ | -20.18 | $19.8 | |
| 13h | Vonne | Yes / 2.0¢ | +60.00 | $1.26 | |
| 13h | QMG-CORE | No / 98.0¢ | +60.00 | $58.8 | |
| 13h | Colala | No / 99.1¢ | -20.18 | $20 | |
| 13h | dfdsfwe | No / 99.1¢ | +20.18 | $20 | |
| 16h | IndigoWalrus | Yes / 0.9¢ | -10.71 | $0.09 | |
| 16h | Colala | No / 99.1¢ | -10.71 | $10.6 | |
| 18h | Biver52 | Yes / 1.9¢ | -11.05 | $0.21 | |
| 18h | kottiravu | Yes / 2.0¢ | +50.55 | $1.05 | |
| 18h | QMG-CORE | No / 98.0¢ | +39.50 | $38.7 | |
| 19h | Biver52 | Yes / 1.9¢ | -78.95 | $1.5 | |
| 19h | jeli8 | Yes / 1.9¢ | +78.95 | $1.57 | |
| 21h | Colala | No / 98.2¢ | +45.00 | $44.2 | |
| 21h | Biver52 | Yes / 1.9¢ | -10.00 | $0.19 | |
| 21h | 0x5ACBedf1392539154c32D980A78154ff327A7814-1773515033913 | Yes / 1.8¢ | +55.00 | $1.05 | |
| 23h | HerroFolkz | Yes / 0.8¢ | -843.00 | $6.74 |
1–25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.58Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$7.72Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.26Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.52Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 66%$4.32Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$4.12Mvolume