Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
ActiveVolume
$49K
Txns
1,090
Traders
202
Fees
$57
Liquidity
$17,798
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
Volume
$49K
Txns
1,090
Traders
202
Fees
$57
Liquidity
$17,798
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2026, currently scheduled for October 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no October meeting takes place by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 70.8¢ | -7.00 | $4.96 | |
| 3h | firegold | Yes / 28.2¢ | -7.00 | $1.97 | |
| 9h | gcersosimo | Yes / 28.0¢ | -2.36 | $0.66 | |
| 9h | 0xB16B00B5 | No / 71.5¢ | +1.72 | $1.23 | |
| 9h | 0xe2F5A09b03679fA16ceF2Fd5aCE515aC9C4DbD5C-1778955269793 | No / 70.7¢ | -11.08 | $7.83 | |
| 9h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 71.6¢ | +7.00 | $5.01 | |
| 11h | 0xb138...0736ab | Yes / 13.8¢ | -5.35 | $0.74 | |
| 11h | TerranSupremacy | No / 85.6¢ | -5.35 | $4.58 | |
| 11h | TerranSupremacy | No / 85.4¢ | -7.04 | $6.01 | |
| 11h | 0x5795...b030fa | Yes / 14.0¢ | -7.33 | $1.02 | |
| 11h | TerranSupremacy | No / 85.6¢ | -0.29 | $0.25 | |
| 11h | 0xe316...c71766 | Yes / 14.0¢ | -6.78 | $0.95 | |
| 11h | TerranSupremacy | No / 85.4¢ | -1.78 | $1.52 | |
| 11h | just-hanging-around | Yes / 14.6¢ | +5.00 | $0.73 | |
| 11h | 0xb138...0736ab | Yes / 28.0¢ | +5.36 | $1.55 | |
| 11h | gcersosimo | Yes / 28.0¢ | -5.36 | $1.5 | |
| 11h | qcp2 | Yes / 19.9¢ | -6.85 | $1.36 | |
| 11h | 0x5795...b030fa | Yes / 20.4¢ | +7.34 | $1.56 | |
| 11h | gcersosimo | Yes / 28.0¢ | -0.49 | $0.14 | |
| 11h | 0pc0p | Yes / 15.0¢ | -11.07 | $1.66 | |
| 11h | PPMT | No / 84.3¢ | -2.36 | $1.99 | |
| 11h | TerranSupremacy | No / 84.4¢ | -8.71 | $7.35 | |
| 11h | bcsg2zbndfss | Yes / 14.9¢ | -3.58 | $0.53 | |
| 11h | PPMT | No / 84.3¢ | -3.58 | $3.02 | |
| 11h | th4m2gj1v9ap | Yes / 14.9¢ | -7.16 | $1.07 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$7.76Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.6Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.64Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.33Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 70%$4.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$4.15Mvolume