
Volume
$208K
Txns
3,620
Traders
509
Fees
$470
Liquidity
$21,893
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9m | Colala | No / 81.4¢ | -29.90 | $24.3 | |
| 9m | koninginhetuniverse | No / 82.0¢ | +29.90 | $24.5 | |
| 10m | 15rob | No / 80.0¢ | +8.48 | $6.78 | |
| 10m | Tenebrus7 | No / 80.0¢ | +500.00 | $400 | |
| 10m | AlfredTheShiller | No / 78.0¢ | +62.55 | $48.8 | |
| 10m | purebaby | Yes / 19.0¢ | -36.37 | $6.91 | |
| 10m | sucuk-mit-ei | No / 80.0¢ | +499.91 | $400 | |
| 10m | purebaby | Yes / 19.0¢ | -5.03 | $0.96 | |
| 10m | 0x3d09...51654f | Yes / 19.6¢ | +2,546.04 | $519 | |
| 10m | purebaby | Yes / 19.0¢ | -22.60 | $4.29 | |
| 10m | purebaby | Yes / 19.0¢ | -227.73 | $43.3 | |
| 10m | Olcan | No / 80.0¢ | +200.00 | $160 | |
| 10m | puposalbani | Yes / 19.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.95 | |
| 10m | rocky42004 | Yes / 20.0¢ | -300.00 | $60 | |
| 10m | purebaby | Yes / 19.0¢ | -110.16 | $20.9 | |
| 10m | purebaby | Yes / 19.0¢ | -205.10 | $39 | |
| 10m | Colala | No / 82.0¢ | +25.70 | $21.1 | |
| 10m | Colala | Yes / 18.0¢ | -45.00 | $8.1 | |
| 10m | purebaby | Yes / 19.0¢ | -19.83 | $3.77 | |
| 10m | purebaby | Yes / 19.0¢ | -55.58 | $10.6 | |
| 10m | ArdithSon79 | No / 81.0¢ | +17.00 | $13.8 | |
| 10m | Olcan | No / 81.0¢ | +200.00 | $162 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 17.0¢ | +45.00 | $7.65 | |
| 2h | LevantLeverage | No / 83.0¢ | +45.00 | $37.6 | |
| 3h | Colala | Yes / 18.0¢ | -48.88 | $8.8 |
1–25
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 59%$38.4Kvolume
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
No 85%$62.6Kvolume
Will Serge Gnabry be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
No 100%$1.37Kvolume
Will Kai Havertz be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Yes 99%$675volume
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
No 88%$35.2Kvolume
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
No 94%$466Kvolume