
Volume
$1M
Txns
3,480
Traders
472
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by December 16, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 99%$77.2Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.12Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 59%$742Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 88%$1.81Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 99%$62.4Kvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 82%$55.3Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Mmiikka | No / 99.9¢ | -3.19 | $3.19 | |
| 5mo | haeju | No / 99.9¢ | +3.19 | $3.19 | |
| 5mo | WangHuning | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | haeju | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 5mo | haeju | No / 99.9¢ | +1,289.44 | $1.29K | |
| 5mo | SaaOP | Yes / 0.1¢ | -340.71 | $0.34 | |
| 5mo | ugandaprice | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,489.85 | $4.49 | |
| 5mo | orin40 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | 0x21a3E22cF2918a7EF74A7636796768e249d27877-1765945475695 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6,720.00 | $6.72 | |
| 5mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Bska36 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Intersection | No / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 5mo | yuzhoutop | No / 99.9¢ | -520.80 | $520 | |
| 5mo | SaaOP | Yes / 0.1¢ | -520.80 | $0.52 | |
| 5mo | 2117 | No / 99.9¢ | -3,366.65 | $3.36K | |
| 5mo | SaaOP | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3,366.65 | $3.37 | |
| 5mo | Kemitooo | No / 99.9¢ | -10.75 | $10.7 | |
| 5mo | SaaOP | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.75 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | BlackHammer69 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.90 | $3.9 | |
| 5mo | SaaOP | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.90 | $0 | |
| 5mo | SaaOP | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | user573 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 5mo | SaaOP | Yes / 0.1¢ | -114.79 | $0.11 | |
| 5mo | freedom-onchain | No / 99.9¢ | -114.79 | $115 | |
| 5mo | crypto1973 | No / 99.9¢ | -38.61 | $38.6 |
1–25