
Volume
$90K
Txns
1,324
Traders
268
Fees
$198
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The release of models such as Gemini 3.2 does not meet the standard of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.1Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.79Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 58%$740Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 97%$59Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 89%$944Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 97%$56.2Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.54 | $4.54 | |
| 22d | 0x453300fdfc9483364Dc5598A32556c741bA611b7-1777055460877 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4.54 | $4.54 | |
| 22d | melganis | Yes / 99.8¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 22d | nikitaxce | No / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 22d | ouiouidescs | No / 0.2¢ | -600.00 | $1.2 | |
| 22d | labistiiia | No / 0.2¢ | -2,000.00 | $4 | |
| 22d | HerrieDavis | No / 0.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 22d | dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider | No / 0.2¢ | +6,361.00 | $13.2 | |
| 22d | noid2 | No / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 22d | readyplayer6 | No / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 22d | Haradwaith | No / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 22d | norealtime | No / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 22d | planktonXD | No / 0.2¢ | -1,111.00 | $2.22 | |
| 22d | PPMT | Yes / 99.7¢ | -28.90 | $28.8 | |
| 22d | nikitaxce | No / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 22d | PPMT | Yes / 99.7¢ | -26.60 | $26.5 | |
| 22d | ouiouidescs | No / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 22d | melganis | Yes / 99.8¢ | -130.47 | $130 | |
| 22d | readyplayer6 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 22d | 0xbA17aAa8ED37Ad40567A3f62fB49a41dCCf392b4-1760057257023 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 22d | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 22d | noid2 | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 22d | TENETENET | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 22d | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 22d | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 |
1–25