
Volume
$583K
Txns
9,594
Traders
1,346
Fees
$2,215
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22h | Jjgr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -399.99 | $400 | |
| 22h | niqqaping | Yes / 99.9¢ | +399.99 | $400 | |
| 22h | JhonPol | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.22 | $1.22 | |
| 22h | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.22 | $1.22 | |
| 22h | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.28 | $0.28 | |
| 22h | 0x5ab4...f25c9c | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.28 | $0.28 | |
| 23h | kobie3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +688.18 | $687 | |
| 23h | 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -720.00 | $719 | |
| 23h | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -31.82 | $0.03 | |
| 23h | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -939.78 | $0.94 | |
| 23h | 0x58645056973cf7bfE401a00086A6742cB08be473-1771530655480 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -939.78 | $939 | |
| 1d | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1d | muaddipp | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1d | robotictrader | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28.40 | $28.4 | |
| 1d | labistiiia | No / 0.1¢ | -28.40 | $0.03 | |
| 1d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,137.34 | $1.14K | |
| 1d | HerrieDavis | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1d | 36714 | No / 0.1¢ | -36.34 | $0.04 | |
| 1d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 1d | melganis | No / 0.1¢ | +4,998.90 | $5 | |
| 1d | XuRi888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,998.90 | $4.99K | |
| 1d | 1101101 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.09 | $1.09 | |
| 1d | melganis | No / 0.1¢ | +1.09 | $0 | |
| 1d | noid2 | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1d | norealtime | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Yes 100%$248Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$380Kvolume
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Yes 100%$344Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 97%$1Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 75%$503Kvolume
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?
Yes 100%$48.5Kvolume