
Volume
$5M
Txns
18,391
Traders
1,952
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by less than 1.5% of the popular vote when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their votes.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | youdoit | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30,000.00 | $30K | |
| 1y | jbout | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | QlongQ | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | hoti9 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 169ggg | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Yiyou | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | tjiba8oh | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Mywin | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30,161.00 | $30.1K | |
| 1y | 119hope | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | gzzz | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 1O6o8T | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | G999 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Slaveukr163 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 99.8¢ | -101.00 | $101 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +16,744.81 | $16.7K | |
| 1y | youdoit | Yes / 99.8¢ | -16,506.46 | $16.5K | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.3¢ | +238.35 | $0.72 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.3¢ | +0.83 | $0 | |
| 1y | Damiengvwaedx | Yes / 99.7¢ | +0.83 | $0.83 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.3¢ | +0.15 | $0 | |
| 1y | Lesleyed | Yes / 99.7¢ | +0.15 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.3¢ | +0.67 | $0 | |
| 1y | Trentoneqfed | Yes / 99.7¢ | +0.67 | $0.67 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.3¢ | +1.95 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?
Yes 89%$6Kvolume
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?
No 95%$11.5Kvolume
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+
No 100%$2.72Mvolume
Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?
No 100%$123Kvolume
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Yes 100%$10.6Mvolume
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
No 100%$603Kvolume