
Volume
$549K
Txns
11,032
Traders
1,594
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.3 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.3, or a general-purpose variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.2, similar to the core-version progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. Model releases that do not resemble this core version progression, such as task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family, as well as products labeled GPT-6 or similar, will not qualify for this market. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.21Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.9Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | L.X | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 3mo | sdfwqefcqef | No / 99.5¢ | +4.76 | $4.74 | |
| 3mo | huanghaihua | No / 99.5¢ | +3.74 | $3.72 | |
| 3mo | sportsaddict | No / 99.7¢ | -18.51 | $18.5 | |
| 3mo | huanghaihua | No / 99.5¢ | +5.16 | $5.13 | |
| 3mo | palettequq | No / 99.5¢ | -5.16 | $5.13 | |
| 3mo | sanjiaozhoubazhu | No / 99.5¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 3mo | yingwenxiansheng | No / 99.5¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 3mo | liuyifeimm | No / 99.5¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 3mo | Aethlius123341234 | No / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 3mo | Irina123456789 | No / 99.5¢ | -801.10 | $797 | |
| 3mo | timnbb | No / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 3mo | ooekeaaa | No / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 3mo | qishinishishuima | No / 99.5¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 3mo | Acastusoss | No / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 3mo | Acisoop | No / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 3mo | Aegyptus345 | No / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 3mo | Aeolus123 | No / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 3mo | wocongshanhonglai | No / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 3mo | fkirrrn | No / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 3mo | Aeacus123 | No / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 3mo | lloabee | No / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 3mo | 8998231gfdsgdfgsdgs | No / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 3mo | zhenrenbuyu | No / 99.5¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 3mo | bvfdvsdfcdfsda | No / 99.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 |
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