
Volume
$94K
Txns
1,811
Traders
311
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.3 model is made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-5.3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5.3 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.3 (e.g., ChatGPT-5.3o, would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5.2, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. Products labeled as GPT-6 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$116Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.83Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 0xEC6AD6AEAA9394 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -20.28 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 0xC816b273036e08Ca5AD2bea57d7640d33BB573a6-1769363997094 | No / 99.8¢ | -20.28 | $20.2 | |
| 4mo | Xeny | No / 99.8¢ | +29.03 | $29 | |
| 4mo | puser0x | Yes / 0.2¢ | +29.03 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +70.00 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +114.00 | $0.11 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +191.00 | $0.19 | |
| 4mo | 0xEC6AD6AEAA9394 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +3,497.52 | $10.5 | |
| 4mo | 9... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +29.03 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | RolandChang | No / 99.9¢ | -5,566.00 | $5.56K | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +209.00 | $0.21 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +120.00 | $0.12 | |
| 4mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +368.00 | $0.37 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +139.00 | $0.14 | |
| 4mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | Xeny | No / 99.8¢ | +11,639.73 | $11.6K | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +364.00 | $0.36 | |
| 4mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +306.00 | $0.31 | |
| 4mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | stph81 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 9... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +29.18 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +339.00 | $0.34 | |
| 4mo | 0xEC6AD6AEAA9394 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +2.48 | $0.01 |
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