
Volume
$66K
Txns
2,169
Traders
392
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +160.82 | $0.32 | |
| 23d | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +153.16 | $0.46 | |
| 23d | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | +581.76 | $581 | |
| 23d | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +208.61 | $0.21 | |
| 23d | Heldenkampf | No / 99.7¢ | -34.93 | $34.8 | |
| 23d | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.24 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.7¢ | +25.02 | $24.9 | |
| 23d | Heldenkampf | No / 99.7¢ | -25.02 | $24.9 | |
| 24d | Heldenkampf | No / 99.7¢ | -140.00 | $140 | |
| 24d | CornMarcCasp | Yes / 0.3¢ | -140.00 | $0.42 | |
| 24d | 0x1d43D50bEAb79F495A9cE7b8903C8Ba111Dd6c53-1772486322236 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 24d | Heldenkampf | No / 99.7¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 24d | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 24d | DeactivatedAccount | Yes / 0.1¢ | -56.18 | $0.06 | |
| 24d | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.18 | $0.05 | |
| 24d | FearLeader | Yes / 1.0¢ | -100.00 | $1 | |
| 24d | jwherron | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 25d | notedigo | No / 99.0¢ | -5.88 | $5.82 | |
| 25d | FearLeader | Yes / 1.0¢ | -5.88 | $0.06 | |
| 25d | JosephIsGreat | Yes / 0.9¢ | +453.85 | $4.08 | |
| 25d | DarnassusSquare | Yes / 0.9¢ | -453.85 | $4.08 | |
| 25d | JosephIsGreat | Yes / 0.9¢ | +65.00 | $0.58 | |
| 25d | daroghi | No / 99.1¢ | +30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 25d | 42012 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -35.00 | $0.32 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 89%$10.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 73%$43.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$23.6Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$3.06Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
No 100%$1.44Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 97%$1.49Mvolume