
Volume
$82K
Txns
2,011
Traders
351
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 89%$26.2Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.6Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$4.99Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.12Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 73%$25.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 86%$3.23Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +35.85 | $35.8 | |
| 2mo | 0x5654...32e51c | No / 99.9¢ | -35.85 | $35.8 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | Voltwist | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 2mo | Voltwist | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 2mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +58.84 | $58.7 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.82 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +11.76 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +11.76 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +205.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.82 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +405.00 | $405 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +17.68 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +480.96 | $480 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +19.91 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | OneChina | Yes / 0.2¢ | +155.34 | $0.31 | |
| 2mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | Yes / 0.2¢ | +12.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | CitadelLasalle | Yes / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +93.07 | $0.19 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +0.64 | $0 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.7¢ | +20.06 | $20 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +20.06 | $0.06 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.01 | $0.02 |
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