
Volume
$5K
Txns
121
Traders
24
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2024
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining or founding a newly created company/organization by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | +543.00 | $542 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +333.00 | $0.33 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.1¢ | +205.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | -400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +195.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.1¢ | +205.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 1.1¢ | -433.06 | $4.76 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 1.1¢ | +433.06 | $4.76 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 1.1¢ | -300.00 | $3.36 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 1.1¢ | +237.72 | $2.61 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 1.2¢ | +62.28 | $0.75 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 1.2¢ | +117.46 | $1.41 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 1.2¢ | -117.46 | $1.41 | |
| 1y | aaa123 | Yes / 1.2¢ | -65.00 | $0.78 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 1.2¢ | +65.00 | $0.78 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 1.2¢ | +5.26 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | catfish | No / 98.8¢ | +5.26 | $5.2 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 1.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | catfish | No / 98.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.89 | |
| 1y | tylong8 | Yes / 3.2¢ | +100.00 | $3.2 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 3.1¢ | +103.00 | $3.19 | |
| 1y | WordleAddict | Yes / 3.1¢ | -203.00 | $6.39 |
1–25
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No 99%$227Kvolume
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
No 100%$236Kvolume
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Yes 100%$96.4Kvolume
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Yes 100%$45.2Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 81%$123Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.14Mvolume