
Volume
$305K
Txns
3,634
Traders
534
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$42,680
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52m | Zasmes | Yes / 53.0¢ | +1.89 | $1 | |
| 52m | simplystupid188 | No / 47.0¢ | +1.89 | $0.89 | |
| 4h | Te0n2 | No / 47.0¢ | +19.84 | $9.32 | |
| 4h | Chococremeux | No / 46.0¢ | +3.20 | $1.47 | |
| 4h | Motosha | No / 46.9¢ | -23.04 | $10.8 | |
| 4h | Colala | Yes / 51.0¢ | +0.07 | $0.04 | |
| 4h | 0nxjl90dmgkp | Yes / 50.5¢ | -0.07 | $0.04 | |
| 4h | Eia | Yes / 52.0¢ | -7.47 | $3.88 | |
| 4h | Te0n2 | No / 47.0¢ | +180.16 | $84.7 | |
| 4h | eratoxtenex | No / 47.0¢ | +700.00 | $329 | |
| 4h | JoeBlack01 | No / 47.0¢ | -900.00 | $423 | |
| 4h | simplystupid188 | No / 48.0¢ | +12.37 | $5.94 | |
| 12h | Epiktetos | No / 49.0¢ | +10.00 | $4.9 | |
| 12h | 0x7a63...81b4ef | Yes / 51.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.1 | |
| 13h | 0xf879AEf3B314C65BCCf1B805aac685e79D029231-1778929772001 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +2.00 | $1 | |
| 13h | zaop | No / 50.0¢ | +2.00 | $1 | |
| 20h | 0xf879AEf3B314C65BCCf1B805aac685e79D029231-1778929772001 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +99.80 | $49.9 | |
| 20h | basileiarhomaion | No / 50.0¢ | +99.80 | $49.9 | |
| 1d | Zasmes | Yes / 51.0¢ | -7.98 | $4.07 | |
| 1d | ClemClemPoorb | Yes / 51.0¢ | +7.98 | $4.07 | |
| 1d | Zasmes | Yes / 51.0¢ | -21.71 | $11.1 | |
| 1d | ClemClemPoorb | Yes / 51.0¢ | +21.71 | $11.1 | |
| 1d | 36714 | No / 49.0¢ | -20.00 | $9.8 | |
| 1d | 0xf879AEf3B314C65BCCf1B805aac685e79D029231-1778929772001 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +20.40 | $10.2 | |
| 1d | Rdroit | No / 49.5¢ | +40.40 | $20 |
1–25
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 96%$2.65Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 80%$26.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 94%$1.51Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 83%$1.95Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$17.5Mvolume