
Volume
$5M
Txns
39,791
Traders
4,528
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | GrupoM4 | No / 99.9¢ | -147.72 | $148 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +147.72 | $148 | |
| 19d | 0xf50Fd89431Df96fC5D9ac24B1e208EE88cee676E-1774265600709 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +4,201.66 | $4.2K | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +3,055.95 | $3.05K | |
| 19d | Moonshot1019 | No / 99.9¢ | -7,257.61 | $7.25K | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +40.03 | $40 | |
| 19d | WIWIII1 | No / 99.9¢ | -40.03 | $40 | |
| 19d | 0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479 | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 19d | xulinlin029 | No / 99.9¢ | -102.61 | $103 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +102.61 | $103 | |
| 19d | loinvest | No / 99.9¢ | -650.00 | $649 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +650.00 | $649 | |
| 19d | newnewuser | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 19d | 0x99cb...01b02c | No / 99.9¢ | -11.36 | $11.3 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +11.36 | $11.3 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +586.17 | $586 | |
| 19d | newnewuser | No / 99.9¢ | -586.17 | $586 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +125.61 | $125 | |
| 19d | newnewuser | No / 99.9¢ | -125.61 | $125 | |
| 19d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +102.61 | $103 | |
| 19d | yp990406 | No / 99.9¢ | -102.61 | $103 |
1–25
Iran leadership change by May 31?
No 95%$2.27Mvolume
Iran leadership change by June 30?
No 90%$1.19Mvolume
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
No 99%$178Kvolume
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 69%$2.5Mvolume
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
No 97%$98.9Kvolume
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?
No 100%$94.2Kvolume