
Volume
$643K
Txns
11,473
Traders
1,149
Fees
$11
Liquidity
$65,476
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | nilestrades | No / 90.5¢ | +1.26 | $1.14 | |
| 7h | Volku | Yes / 9.5¢ | +1.26 | $0.12 | |
| 7h | TronOG | No / 90.2¢ | +1.21 | $1.09 | |
| 7h | PotatoInvestments | No / 90.2¢ | -1.21 | $1.09 | |
| 9h | TronOG | No / 90.2¢ | +111.11 | $100 | |
| 9h | SingularitySaint | No / 90.2¢ | -111.11 | $100 | |
| 12h | fa910 | No / 90.3¢ | +100.00 | $90.3 | |
| 12h | TronOG | No / 90.2¢ | +11.59 | $10.5 | |
| 12h | Biver52 | Yes / 9.7¢ | -65.08 | $6.31 | |
| 12h | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 9.6¢ | -29.70 | $2.85 | |
| 12h | 0x1C335c7361bb791e180C3E17aD1308B1eEBfAb72-1771383663138 | Yes / 9.7¢ | +206.37 | $20 | |
| 18h | BielBitcoin | No / 90.9¢ | -100.00 | $90.9 | |
| 18h | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 9.2¢ | +29.70 | $2.73 | |
| 18h | fa910 | No / 90.9¢ | +129.70 | $118 | |
| 23h | pika2zero | No / 90.5¢ | -300.81 | $272 | |
| 23h | Biver52 | Yes / 9.7¢ | -54.75 | $5.31 | |
| 23h | zthunderfury | No / 90.5¢ | +246.06 | $223 | |
| 1d | ketib2 | Yes / 9.5¢ | +500.00 | $47.5 | |
| 1d | zthunderfury | No / 90.5¢ | +386.21 | $350 | |
| 1d | BielBitcoin | No / 90.5¢ | +100.00 | $90.5 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 9.4¢ | -13.79 | $1.3 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 9.3¢ | -13.21 | $1.23 | |
| 1d | 0xdcc0...8e6774 | No / 89.8¢ | -13.21 | $11.9 | |
| 1d | Volku | Yes / 9.0¢ | +500.00 | $45 | |
| 1d | Biver52 | Yes / 9.0¢ | -140.27 | $12.6 |
1–25
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 95%$2.64Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 80%$26.9Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 95%$1.5Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 81%$1.94Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 93%$17.5Mvolume