Volume
$1M
Txns
6,225
Traders
1,125
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | unbearablelighteness | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | MMousse | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +102.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 1y | MMousse | No / 99.9¢ | +602.00 | $601 | |
| 1y | MMousse | Yes / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | weMasster | No / 99.9¢ | -8.00 | $7.99 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +360.88 | $361 | |
| 1y | mar1nettik | No / 99.9¢ | -21.88 | $21.9 | |
| 1y | yAnnika | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | polyswiss | No / 99.9¢ | -215.00 | $215 | |
| 1y | Sino | No / 99.7¢ | -1.16 | $1.16 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.3¢ | -1.16 | $0 | |
| 1y | 0xhhrc | Yes / 0.1¢ | +86.88 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | mar1nettik | No / 99.9¢ | -18.12 | $18.1 | |
| 1y | 0xFJAFJKLDSKF7JKFDJ | No / 99.9¢ | +111.00 | $111 | |
| 1y | bura4rfg | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | Nagaremono | Yes / 0.2¢ | -63.12 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | 0xhhrc | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.12 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | BeN | No / 99.4¢ | +100.00 | $99.4 | |
| 1y | FrancisSP8 | No / 99.1¢ | +46.68 | $46.3 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.5¢ | -13.98 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | pavelshug | Yes / 0.7¢ | +160.66 | $1.09 | |
| 1y | church712 | No / 99.3¢ | -11.76 | $11.7 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes 98%$5.86Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 82%$34.1Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Yes 100%$2.7Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 100%$27.3Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 92%$1.26Mvolume