
Volume
$83K
Txns
1,805
Traders
321
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$43,678
Ends
Jun 13, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$27.3Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.27Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$25.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 88%$3.39Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$65.2Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40s | 0x9DDD9e66Fd4Bf841CB5F943Bbc6C0D708F4d5Ca4-1772186433310 | Yes / 1.8¢ | -100.00 | $1.8 | |
| 40s | 0xc6628e0ca87e439Bba57294Dc8Fd7A503a7bB919-1772376149147 | No / 98.2¢ | -100.00 | $98.2 | |
| 38m | Lavincey | No / 97.4¢ | +7.76 | $7.56 | |
| 38m | dsoisoij | Yes / 2.6¢ | -30.70 | $0.8 | |
| 38m | 0x7D34a37e1e83a7aD9fa06d745D5b6eE65dDAdd4d-1779566055491 | Yes / 2.6¢ | +38.46 | $1 | |
| 44m | Iceqbedoo | No / 97.4¢ | -2.55 | $2.48 | |
| 44m | dsoisoij | Yes / 2.6¢ | -2.55 | $0.07 | |
| 45m | dsoisoij | Yes / 2.6¢ | -5.10 | $0.13 | |
| 45m | Iceqbedoo | No / 97.4¢ | -5.10 | $4.97 | |
| 46m | dsoisoij | Yes / 2.6¢ | -7.65 | $0.2 | |
| 46m | Iceqbedoo | No / 97.4¢ | -7.65 | $7.45 | |
| 58m | fiter | Yes / 2.1¢ | +150.00 | $3.15 | |
| 58m | politic1 | No / 98.0¢ | -10.70 | $10.5 | |
| 58m | 0x7CFE9f1948A5Cb3226Abe53244a22C94134a74Da-1779889024346 | No / 98.4¢ | +2,000.00 | $1.97K | |
| 58m | ultralisk | Yes / 2.1¢ | +100.00 | $2.1 | |
| 58m | fiter | Yes / 1.1¢ | +250.00 | $2.75 | |
| 58m | fiter | Yes / 1.1¢ | +250.00 | $2.75 | |
| 58m | fiter | Yes / 1.1¢ | +384.30 | $4.23 | |
| 58m | fiter | Yes / 2.1¢ | +150.00 | $3.15 | |
| 58m | dsoisoij | Yes / 2.2¢ | +90.00 | $1.98 | |
| 58m | 2ballsdeep | No / 97.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.79 | |
| 58m | fiter | Yes / 2.1¢ | +400.00 | $8.4 | |
| 58m | Trumpchi | No / 98.5¢ | -200.00 | $197 | |
| 58m | bob-2026 | No / 98.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.9 | |
| 1h | MrMelonHead | No / 97.3¢ | -170.80 | $166 |
1–25