
Volume
$2M
Txns
13,097
Traders
2,303
Fees
$134
Ends
Jun 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 74%$34.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.41Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 50%$28.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 95%$1.43Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$7.94Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +7.35 | $7.34 | |
| 3d | 0xFCe686833A8F7DeDe97BbAA6293906Eb52FabD7f-1771158416989 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.35 | $7.34 | |
| 3d | jackzxJCn | No / 99.9¢ | -22.22 | $22.2 | |
| 3d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +22.22 | $22.2 | |
| 3d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +205.28 | $205 | |
| 3d | Compound-57 | No / 99.9¢ | -205.28 | $205 | |
| 3d | Flammed | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 3d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 3d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +15.34 | $15.3 | |
| 3d | 0x8733...0654f7 | No / 99.9¢ | -15.34 | $15.3 | |
| 3d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +4.53 | $4.53 | |
| 3d | 0x55e7...500460 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.53 | $4.53 | |
| 3d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +949.75 | $949 | |
| 3d | vas123 | No / 99.9¢ | -949.75 | $949 | |
| 3d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +250.25 | $250 | |
| 3d | vas123 | No / 99.9¢ | -250.25 | $250 | |
| 3d | pilimili | No / 99.9¢ | -9,493.75 | $9.48K | |
| 3d | dex52 | No / 99.9¢ | -123.27 | $123 | |
| 3d | 0xAlikz | No / 99.9¢ | +9,617.02 | $9.61K | |
| 3d | pilimili | No / 99.9¢ | -20,000.00 | $20K | |
| 3d | onekey02 | No / 99.9¢ | +20,000.00 | $20K | |
| 3d | pilimili | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 3d | pilimili | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 |
1–25