
Volume
$93K
Txns
2,306
Traders
384
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 88%$12.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 70%$44.7Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 100%$5.91Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 99%$10.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.68Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$24.2Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | KateRateF | No / 99.9¢ | -8.31 | $8.3 | |
| 1mo | 0x4D3686d4b7D079f1f78b919997372111369eCbFA-1732946619837 | No / 99.9¢ | -13.41 | $13.4 | |
| 1mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -755.48 | $0.76 | |
| 1mo | twobe3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1mo | KateRateF | No / 99.9¢ | -7.07 | $7.06 | |
| 1mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | KateRateF | No / 99.9¢ | -6.25 | $6.24 | |
| 1mo | 0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479 | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1mo | flarren | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Carolyn7776 | No / 99.9¢ | -9.50 | $9.49 | |
| 1mo | KateRateF | No / 99.9¢ | -6.81 | $6.8 | |
| 1mo | Rebecca819 | No / 99.9¢ | -15.41 | $15.4 | |
| 1mo | Rylee8955 | No / 99.9¢ | -9.81 | $9.8 | |
| 1mo | 0x6276a57b569C0173f95c6625c817244B9187143f-1732466591565 | No / 99.9¢ | -18.91 | $18.9 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -913.99 | $0.91 | |
| 1mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +913.99 | $0.91 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,535.32 | $4.54 | |
| 1mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,202.32 | $1.2 | |
| 1mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 1mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +413.99 | $0.41 | |
| 1mo | 0x5B82Ea055C0334fd9eC98953Da2285C9Ac596a4F-1775350558085 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -413.99 | $0.41 | |
| 1mo | Pamela1216 | No / 99.8¢ | -18.81 | $18.8 | |
| 1mo | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.2¢ | -18.81 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 |
1–25