
Volume
$34K
Txns
849
Traders
180
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 24, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil between October 19, 3:00 PM ET, and October 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +48.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +118.00 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Allinnothing | Yes / 99.9¢ | +280.00 | $280 | |
| 7mo | S888 | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | daroghi | No / 0.9¢ | -25.31 | $0.23 | |
| 7mo | asfdtagsdg | Yes / 99.1¢ | -25.31 | $25.1 | |
| 7mo | 0x3b22DE1637000EaBE43d90E5613d55d9c7C568e3-1760501856738 | No / 0.2¢ | -37.03 | $0.07 | |
| 7mo | ForSale | Yes / 99.8¢ | -37.03 | $37 | |
| 7mo | S888 | No / 0.2¢ | +50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | daroghi | No / 0.2¢ | +95.59 | $0.19 | |
| 7mo | Bambalooo | No / 0.2¢ | -196.59 | $0.39 | |
| 7mo | S888 | No / 0.2¢ | +51.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | JoeTrum | Yes / 98.9¢ | +2.07 | $2.05 | |
| 7mo | Artaius | Yes / 98.9¢ | -2.07 | $2.05 | |
| 7mo | CocoBambino | Yes / 97.9¢ | +15.65 | $15.3 | |
| 7mo | MalarkeyMaster | Yes / 97.9¢ | -15.65 | $15.3 | |
| 7mo | lissartter | No / 2.0¢ | +100.00 | $2 | |
| 7mo | Artaius | Yes / 98.9¢ | -135.52 | $134 | |
| 7mo | Artaius | Yes / 98.8¢ | -68.80 | $68 | |
| 7mo | paddaa | Yes / 98.6¢ | +304.32 | $300 | |
| 7mo | MalarkeyMaster | Yes / 97.9¢ | -20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 7mo | CocoBambino | Yes / 97.9¢ | +20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 7mo | CocoBambino | Yes / 97.9¢ | +20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 7mo | quepasamae | Yes / 97.9¢ | -20.00 | $19.6 |
1–25
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
No 94%$314Kvolume
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 87%$50.6Kvolume
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
No 96%$110Kvolume
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
No 92%$508Kvolume
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
No 96%$131Kvolume
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 55%$177Kvolume