
Volume
$697K
Txns
2,950
Traders
391
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against an Iranian oil or gas facility, inclusive of all Iranian oil rigs, or refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on Iranian soil or within Iranian maritime territory, between June 11 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetec actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$28.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$26.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 94%$4.28Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0y | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 0y | Al6ino | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 0y | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 0y | MooRex | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 0y | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 0y | CryptooOG | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 0y | MrRobot111 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -352.34 | $352 | |
| 0y | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +346.00 | $346 | |
| 0y | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.34 | $6.33 | |
| 0y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +4,343.00 | $4.34 | |
| 0y | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,654.00 | $9.64K | |
| 0y | smoltrader | No / 0.1¢ | +2,860.00 | $2.86 | |
| 0y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.1¢ | +2,451.00 | $2.45 | |
| 0y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 0y | 252 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +25.00 | $25 | |
| 0y | ratue | No / 0.1¢ | +176.00 | $0.18 | |
| 0y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.1¢ | +24.00 | $0.02 | |
| 0y | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 0y | 252 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +25.00 | $25 | |
| 0y | ratue | No / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 0y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 0y | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 0y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +487.50 | $0.49 | |
| 0y | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | -487.50 | $0.49 | |
| 0y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +650.00 | $0.65 |
1–25