
Volume
$55K
Txns
982
Traders
232
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 11, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on October 11, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 11 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for October 11 is available by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to October 11.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | studmuffin6969 | No / 99.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.99 | |
| 1y | Telo4ek | Yes / 1.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 95.0¢ | +0.20 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | fweferwg | Yes / 5.0¢ | +0.20 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 95.0¢ | +0.40 | $0.38 | |
| 1y | brodyaga13123124 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +0.40 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | ghwe4rherg | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +90.30 | $81.3 | |
| 1y | faefv23r | Yes / 10.0¢ | +90.30 | $9.03 | |
| 1y | banditttus | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.20 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +0.20 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | h4rth4ghtr | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | DogEaterOhio | No / 90.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | h4rth4ghtr | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.10 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | meowinglion | No / 99.8¢ | +2,508.42 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | Shayku | No / 99.8¢ | -2,508.42 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | stacy | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2.39 | |
| 1y | Shayku | No / 99.8¢ | -605.26 | $604 | |
| 1y | CarbonMonster | No / 99.7¢ | -394.74 | $394 | |
| 1y | CarbonMonster | No / 99.7¢ | -5.25 | $5.24 | |
| 1y | 0xabcd | No / 99.7¢ | +10.03 | $10 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.6¢ | -4.78 | $4.76 | |
| 1y | fgw34n4 | Yes / 10.0¢ | +0.30 | $0.03 |
1–25
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 14?
No 100%$23.2Kvolume
Will Silver call 48 states correctly?
Yes 100%$3.87Kvolume
Trump positive favorability on February 1?
No 100%$58.5Kvolume
Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on March 14?
No 100%$17Kvolume
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on March 21?
No 100%$5.91Kvolume
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 46.0% on March 21?
No 100%$7.01Kvolume